USDA Projects Ag Trade Deficit Will Fall to $41.5 Billion in 2026

Sep 02, 2025

By Ryan Hanrahan

Agri-Pulse’s Philip Brasher reported that “USDA’s quarterly trade outlook lowered the projected trade deficit for fiscal 2025 to $47 billion from the $49.5 billion estimated in June. The deficit is projected to drop to $41.5 billion for fiscal 2026, which starts Oct. 1, because U.S. ag imports are expected to fall even more than exports. The estimated deficit for FY26 would still be higher than FY24’s $32 billion.”

“USDA raised its estimate for FY25 exports from $170.5 billion to $173 billion, but projected them to decline to $169 billion for FY26. Imports are projected to drop from $220 billion this year to $210.5 billion in FY26,” Brasher reported. “Soybean exports are expected to drop from $21.5 billion in FY25 to $18.3 billion for FY26, down from $24.2 billion in FY24.”

“Soybean growers are being especially hard hit by Trump’s simmering trade war with China; the Chinese have yet to put in an order for this fall’s soybean crop,” Brasher reported. “ERS projects U.S. ag exports to China will drop from $17 billion in FY25 to $9 billion in FY26. As recently as FY24, China imported $25.7 billion worth of U.S. ag commodities.”

Source : illinois.edu

Video: Turning Data into Better Decisions: BioCV's Intelligent Monitoring System for Modern Pork Producers

In this exclusive interview, Jens Kjaer, CEO of BioCV Inc., discusses the North American launch of the BioCV Intelligent Sow Monitoring System and how advanced sensor technology and machine learning are changing the way producers manage sow herds. Using smart ear tags that continuously monitor temperature, behavior, and movement, the system provides real-time alerts for heat detection, farrowing, fever, lameness, and other critical health events—often before they become visible to barn staff.

Kjaer explains how the technology helps producers improve breeding efficiency, reduce non-productive days, identify health challenges earlier, and better support sows during farrowing. He also shares how BioCV's predictive analytics can help operations optimize labor, improve piglet survival, reduce sow losses, and enhance overall productivity in today's increasingly data-driven swine industry.

Learn how this innovative technology is giving producers actionable insights on every sow, every day, helping teams move from reactive management to proactive decision-making while improving both animal welfare and profitability. www.biocv.info/lisa-sow