Winter Wheat Production Up 2 Percent from May Orange Production Down 2 Percent from May
Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.51 billion bushels, up 2 percent from the May 1 forecast but down 8 percent from 2012. Based on June 1 conditions, the United States yield is forecast at 46.1 bushels per acre, up 0.7 bushel from last month but down 1.1 bushels from last year.
Hard Red Winter production, at 781 million bushels, is up 2 percent from last month. Soft Red Winter, at 509 million bushels, is up 2 percent from May. White Winter, at 219 million bushels, is up 1 percent from last month. Of the White Winter production, 11.5 million bushels are Hard White and 207 million bushels are Soft White.
The United States all orange forecast for the 2012-2013 season is 8.42 million tons, down 2 percent from the previous forecast and down 6 percent from the 2011-2012 final utilization. The Florida all orange forecast, at 134 million boxes (6.03 million tons), is down 3 percent from the May forecast and down 9 percent from last season's final utilization. Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 67.0 million boxes (3.02 million tons), unchanged from the May forecast but down 10 percent from last season. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 67.0 million boxes (3.02 million tons), is down 6 percent from the May forecast and down 8 percent from last season's final utilization. The reduction in Florida's Valencia orange forecast is based on current and projected utilization for the remainder of the season. California and Texas production forecasts are carried forward from May.
Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield forecast for the 2012-2013 season is 1.59 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, down 1 percent from the May forecast and down 2 percent from last season's final yield of 1.63 gallons per box. The early-midseason portion is final at 1.51 gallons per box, down 1 percent from last season's final yield of 1.53 gallons per box. The Valencia portion is projected at 1.69 gallons per box, 3 percent lower than last year's final yield of 1.75 gallons per box. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons.