Farms.com Home   Ag Industry News

2015 beef outlook

2015 could be a good year for producers

By Diego Flammini, Farms.com

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) recently reported all cattle and calves in the country as of the beginning of January 1, 2015 was 89.8 million, up by 1% from the 88.5 million on January 1, 2014.

Beef cows in particular were at 29.7 million, a 2% increase from January 1, 2014.

2014 provided producers with a record year from a price and profit vantage point and many are wondering if the trend will continue. So far, signs point to another good year for beef producers in 2015.

“Beef supplies in North America will still be tight – tighter than 2014,” said Anne Wasko, Marketing Analyst for Alberta’s Gateway Livestock. “So that’s certainly still a positive from a price perspective and will likely keep prices generally higher on average than 2014.”

The variable with the most chances of impacting the market is demand – how much will consumers pay and how much more beef will they buy? Even with record prices last year, beef saw a 6-7% increase.

Another factor that could impact the beef industry is the status of the Canadian dollar. Currency converter website xe.com lists the exchange rate as 80¢. Wasko says Canadian beef exports in 2014 were strong and that lower fuel prices could also help keep the demand strong.

“Margin operators in the cattle sector will likely be looking at smaller margins this year simply due to higher cattle costs but cow/calf producers should still be looking at a profitable year assuming moisture conditions and feed costs remain manageable,” she said.  “There are plenty of risk management tools for producers to use today to mitigate price risk in a very volatile marketplace.  Access to credit will also be a constraint at current price levels.”


Cash cow


Trending Video

USDA Shock/Surprises Markets in August Crop Report + Houston we have a problem in Ontario!

Video: USDA Shock/Surprises Markets in August Crop Report + Houston we have a problem in Ontario!


USDA August crop report shocked with higher U.S. crop yields and big changes in acres, but will diseases like Southern Rust in corn especially in Iowa take away?
If Trump gave China the AI chips it wanted, does China finally step in to buy U.S. soybeans and does Trump have a Phase 2 trade deal in his pocket for the Apec Summit when he meets Xi at the end of October?
Soybean futures rallied 68 cents the pendulum is swinging back to the upside as heat could shave the soybean yield for the 2nd half of August. Midway through the 2025 10th Annual Great ON Yield Tour, we have a problem as Central Ontario is a train wreck from a severe drought.
75% of the 700 wildfires in Canada remain out of control plus Canadian Prairie farmers took another one for the team as China slaps a 75.8% tariff on canola just in time for the 2025 harvest. Western Canadian rains too late for most.
U.S. pork cutout values remain resilient.
Does Trump have a Ukraine/Russian peace deal in his back pocket in Alaska?