Farms.com Home   Ag Industry News

Cdn. farmers in the middle of the trade war

Cdn. farmers in the middle of the trade war

Decisions between the U.S. and China affect Canadian ag

By Diego Flammini
Staff Writer
Farms.com

Canadian farmers are stuck on the sidelines watching commodity prices fluctuate as trade talks between the United States and China start and stall.

In March 2018, when the U.S. kicked off the trade war by asking the United States Trade Representative to investigate applying tariffs on Chinese goods, soybeans traded for almost US$11 per bushel.

Prices have risen and fallen since that time, and as of Tuesday afternoon traded for about US$8.65 per bushel.

Watching the two countries exchange tariffs is hard, said Ken Durham, a cash crop producer from Niagara, Ont.

“The trade war hurts all farmers big time because we are at the mercy of the politics,” he told Farms.com. “Regardless of where our soybeans go, (the trade war) still affects the Chicago Board of Trade and the world price for soybeans.”

Gord Masters, a cash crop and beef producer from Kawartha Lakes, Ont. agrees.

“It wouldn’t surprise me if the bottom fell out on some of these commodity prices,” he told Farms.com.

The difficulty of managing a farm business during the trade war, paired with weather challenges, could be enough for some producers to leave the industry.

“When you look at everything that’s happened across North America, this year might weed some farmers out and they won’t be able to survive the year,” Durham said.

Canada can do something to repair its relationship with China and present itself as a source of good ag products, Masters and Durham agreed.

Letting Meng Wanzhou, the chief operating officer for Huawei Technologies, return to China could help restore access for canola and other ag commodities, they said.


Trending Video

USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension

Video: USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension


USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.