Farms.com Home   Ag Industry News

China Imposes 75.8% Tariff on Canadian Canola, Escalating Trade Dispute

China Imposes 75.8% Tariff on Canadian Canola, Escalating Trade Dispute
Aug 12, 2025
By Denise Faguy
Assistant Editor, North American Content, Farms.com

Trade tensions escalate as China imposes steep anti-dumping duties -- closing its market to Canadian canola

In a significant escalation of the ongoing trade dispute between Canada and China, Beijing has announced preliminary anti-dumping duties of 75.8% on Canadian canola imports, effective Thursday.

The decision, released by China’s Ministry of Commerce as reported by Reuters Beijing/Singapore office, follows a year-long investigation and could effectively shut Canada out of its largest canola market.

The Canola Council of Canada responded, stating that the steep tariff makes the Chinese market “effectively closed” to Canadian canola. In 2024, Canada exported nearly C$5 billion (US$3.64 billion) worth of the oilseed crop to China, which uses it primarily for animal feed in its aquaculture sector.

The announcement sent shockwaves through the commodity markets. ICE November canola futures plunged as much as 6.5% following the news. Farmers across Canada are already reacting to the price drop and its potential impact. (Read more: Farmers React as Canola Prices Drop Amid China’s New Tariffs.)

China is the world’s largest importer of canola and has historically sourced nearly all of its supply from Canada. Experts suggest that Australia may benefit from Canada’s loss, potentially filling the gap in Chinese demand.

This latest move follows a series of tariffs imposed by China in March, including a 100% levy on Canadian canola oil, meal, and peas, and a 25% duty on seafood and pork. China’s Ministry of Commerce claims its investigation found that Canada’s agricultural sector—particularly the canola industry—benefited from substantial government subsidies and preferential policies.

However, both the Canadian government and the canola industry have consistently denied allegations of dumping. Industry experts believe the tariffs are politically motivated, likely in retaliation for Canada’s 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles introduced in October 2024.

The timing of the announcement is notable, coming just weeks after a seemingly conciliatory phone call in June between Chinese Premier Li Qiang and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, during which Li stated there were “no deep-seated conflicts of interest” between the two nations.

A ruling on the anti-dumping case could result in a revised tariff rate or even overturn the decision, but for now, Canadian canola exporters face a closed door in China.

Once again, the Canadian agriculture industry is a pawn in global politics – will Canada protect its agriculture industry?

Photo Credit: Pexels Pixabay


Trending Video

2025 USDA December Crop Report a “Dud” + Trump $12 Billion U.S. Farm Aid

Video: 2025 USDA December Crop Report a “Dud” + Trump $12 Billion U.S. Farm Aid


The USDA December crop report was friendly corn, neutral soybeans and bearish wheat. The USDA did surprise and increase the 25/26 U.S. corn export forecast to a new record high at 3.2 billion bushels now up 12% vs. last year vs. prior at +9% vs. the export pace to date up 30% the best in 10 years even higher than 20/21! The USDA left the 25/26 U.S. soybean export pace unchanged at 1.635 billion bushels. Higher global wheat supplies will remain a weight and headwind for wheat into year end and start of 2026.
Mexico is now the #1 buyer of U.S. corn, soybeans (usually China), wheat and pork!
USDA also released its long-term early projections but expect more changes by February of 2026.
Trump announces a $12 billion U.S. farmer aid package to be paid out by February 28, 2026. This helps no one but the ag banks, farm equipment companies, seed and fertilizer companies. It does prevent more farmer bushels from being sold near-term but is not bullish grain prices long-term. The Trump administration should focus on increasing U.S. domestic demand and propping up grain futures so farmers can cover their higher costs, up since COVID of 2020.
The China U.S. soybean purchase tracker now stands at 4.521 mmt or 38% of the 12 mmt promised by China at year end or is it end of February or the growing season? Why the discrepancy vs. the fact sheet. The optics are poor for the Trump administration.
After surging to contract highs U.S. natural gas futures plunged over 30+% in just 5-trading days!
Silver traded to new record highs as the debasement and de dollarization trade continued but technicals remain overbought near-term.
Soybean futures remained in correction mode after the funds went record long futures on Nov. 19 +233,000 contracts but the $10.80 support should hold into year end when the fund profit taking/liquidation comes to an end from the year end, end of month and end of quarter selling.
The U.S. Fed cut interest rates for the 3rd time by 25 basis points to a range of 3.50 – 3.75% and they will only cut one more time in 2026 and once in 20267/ but when Powell is gone next April the replacement is willing to cut more aggressively and we could see U.S. interest rates fall to 2.0% very bullish for ag and stocks as it could reignite inflation into 2027.
After 2 months of being drier than normal in Brazil the rains have finally arrived for the 1st half of December, and a record crop is still in the cards but if this pattern continues and verifies it could start to delay the harvest. Argentina after being too wet has turned dry but they are too small, compared top Brazil in the grand picture.
The Canadian dollar surged to $0.73 after better-than-expected employment data with 180,000 new jobs in the past 3-months and 3rd quarter GDP at +2.6% but this could be short-lived.
The latest CFTC report as of 11-19-2025 reported a record long fund position in soybeans at +233,000 contracts when 2026 March soybean futures peaked on 11-19-25 at $11.724/bu.