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US energy boom creates record surplus

Production from renewables & shale oil soars

By Farms.com

The US is experiencing a surge in energy production, driven by growth in both shale oil and renewable sources like wind and solar. This has resulted in the nation's highest ever energy surplus, exceeding consumption by a significant margin.

While the US isn't completely energy independent due to reliance on specific crude imports, it has achieved a remarkable level of self-sufficiency. This trend began under the Trump administration with the shale oil boom and continued under the current administration.

The surplus reached a record 9 quadrillion British thermal units in 2023, with total energy production reaching nearly 103 quadrillion BTU. However, the future of this surplus is uncertain.

Tax incentives could accelerate renewable energy adoption, while investor pressure might slow shale oil growth. Additionally, rising demand from data centers fueled by the AI boom could erode the surplus.

The future of US energy policy and how the nation will meet its growing needs remains an important topic for discussion.


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*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.