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USDA releases February WASDE report

Not much movement reported in either direction

By Diego Flammini, Farms.com

Every industry has reports that come out periodically to give everyone involved in that industry an update and better understanding of what the future holds.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has their monthly oil market report and Scotiabank just released their Global Auto Report discussing trends in automobile sales.

Farming and agriculture have their own report – the WASDE.

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) released their February edition of the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) Report. The report focuses on many commodities but the focus will be on corn, wheat, and soybeans but also touches on pork, cattle and poultry products.

Corn
February’s WASDE report has corn coming in with an ending stock of 1.827 billion bushels, a reduction of 50 million bushels from January’s 1.877. Corn use, however, saw an increase. Lower prices at the gas pumps is boosting ethanol demand. The pricing for corn is projected to be somewhere between $3.40 and $3.90 per bushel.

Soybeans
The recent WASDE report has soybean ending stocks at 385 million bushels, down 25 million from January’s reports. The price projection for soybeans remained unchanged, going for prices ranging from $9.45 to $10.95 per bushel.

Wheat
Wheat’s ending stocks saw an increase coming in at 692 million bushels, up from January’s report of 687 million. Prices of wheat are projected to be between $5.85 and $6.15 per bushel.

Moe Agostino, Chief Commodity Strategist for the Farms.com Risk Management team says the lower ending stocks in corn and soybeans is good news, but there’s still large amounts of the crops available.

The next WASDE report is due out Tuesday, March 10.


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The 12-day war between Iran-Israel came to an end sending crude oil futures plunging as the big fund speculators removed the war risk premium.

The weather risk premium in the Ag complex is sending corn, wheat and soybean futures lower on month-end selling ahead of the market moving USDA quarterly grain stocks and acreage reports on June 30th.

Instead, funds were chasing and sending tech stocks higher with the S&P 500/NASDAQ indexes setting new all-time record highs!

June 1 USDA Hogs and pigs report was slightly bearish while the U.S. $ Index traded to new contract lows as the de-dollarization that began in 2014 continues.

Feed in the form of soybean meal futures for livestock producers got cheaper, trading to new contract lows.

The Stats Canada seeded acreage update was bullish canola and wheat.