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2023 Cattle and hog outlook update: feed costs and demand strength lead profit uncertainty

This is the second quarterly update to our 2023 Outlook for cattle and hogs published in February. Over the last two weeks, we updated our Outlooks for dairy and major crops.

Prices for fed steers in Ontario and Alberta have continued to gain since our May outlook update. Our forecasts for each price category are also higher year-over-year (YoY) and significantly higher than their respective five-year averages. Prices for live hogs have similarly improved since May except for Manitoba feeder hogs and isoweans, bringing some relief to eastern producers. However, they’ve not yet returned to the levels we had initially forecasted in February.

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With harvest just around the corner, the focus is quickly shifting from what's in the field to what that crop may be worth. Corn prices found some strength this week, while the cattle market continues to trade at historically strong levels.