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Canola Higher but then Falls Back

Canola futures ended lower on Thursday in trade that saw prices initially spike up following the release of the monthly USDA supply-demand update only to fall back into the red by the close.

The Chicago soy complex was relatively steady and provided little direction for canola by the end of the day. Support came from gains in European rapeseed, while lower Malaysian palm oil weighed on the values. Lower ICE crush margins also added pressure on canola.

Prairie temperatures are forecast to begin their climb towards 30 degrees Celsius by the weekend. Temperatures will then moderate, with some possibility of rain next week.

The weekly Saskatchewan crop report stated that 7% of the province’s total crops have been harvested. However, the report noted that no canola had yet been combined.

November canola fell $5.60 to $883.40, January was down $4.90 at $872.70 and March lost $4.30 to $858.20.

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USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension

Video: USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension


USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.