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FUND LIQUIDATION PUSHES SOYBEANS SHARPLY LOWER

Soybeans were sharply lower on fund and technical selling. Harvest is moving forward and while there are minor delays and some yield concerns, it is early in the process. The USDA is already projecting a very tight supply, so any cuts to yield would have an impact on demand projections, with the next set of estimates out October 12th. Export demand has picked up a little steam, but the overall pace remains behind what’s needed to meet USDA projections. Last week’s big buyers were China and Japan. China’s General Administration of Customs says August soybean imports from Brazil were 9.09 million tons, a jump of 45% on the year and nearly all of the monthly total. Soybean meal and oil were lower, also seeing fund liquidation. Domestic crush margins remain bullish.

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Soybean Outlook: China Demand, Brazil Weather and Signs of a Harvest Low

Video: Soybean Outlook: China Demand, Brazil Weather and Signs of a Harvest Low

Funds are leaning short in wheat and closer to neutral in corn, says Brad Matthews. In this Market Plus, he explains who the commercials are, why he expects China to buy all 25 million metric tons of soybeans, how a super El Niño could heat up prices, whether USDA’s corn yield is too high after last week’s correction, and what persistent inflation means for grain prices.