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G7 Agriculture Ministers meet in Germany

G7 Agriculture Ministers met in Stuttgart, Germany May 13 & 14, 2022.

Canada’s Minister of Agriculture and Agri-Food, Marie-Claude Bibeau addressed Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

"To help reduce price volatility and fight global hunger, I announced Canada will double its funding to the Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS), of the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization the FAO. This investment will give countries new information about fertilizers...and other inputs to more effectively navigate global agricultural markets in times of crises. Germany and the United States have also officially followed suit and other countries are preparing to do so."

Bibeau also talked about the need for resilient food systems.

"While responding to the invasion of Ukraine, G7 Ministers also stressed that we must continue to work towards sustainable and resilient agriculture and food systems globally. The world must produce more food in a manner that is sustainable environmentally, economically, and socially. Resilient food systems are essential to ensuring global food security and nutrition. Focusing on the need to increase productivity and leveraging innovative ideas to support farmers will be key to achieving this goal."

Communiqué: Pathways towards sustainable food systems in times of crises - Berlin, May 14th, 2022

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Will the 2025 USDA December Crop Report Be a Market Mover/Surprise?

Video: Will the 2025 USDA December Crop Report Be a Market Mover/Surprise?


Historically, the USDA December crop report is a non-event or another dud report as the USDA reserves any final supply changes to the final report in January of the following year in this case 2026. But after the longest U.S. government shutdown in history at 43 days and no October crop report will they provide more data/surprise and make an exception?
Our China U.S. soybean purchase tracker is now at 26.6% or a total of 3.2 mmt but for traders it’s taking too long to unfold.
The final Stats Canada production report was bearish canola and wheat projection a record crop in both (it adds to the global glut of supplies) and bullish local corn and soybean prices in Ontario/Quebec thanks to a drought. It will not help the fund flow short-term, the USDA may need to offset it?
A U.S. Fed interest rate cut of another 25-basis point next Wednesday (probability 87.1%) could help fund flow and sentiment in stock and ag commodities into year end.
More inflows into Bitcoin this past week saw prices rebound back above 90,000 with support at 82,000 and resistance at 96,000.
A V-shaped bottom in cattle suggest the lows are in after Mexico reported another new world screwworm case. Lower weights, seasonal demand and higher U.S. beef select/choice values with a continued closure of the Mexican border to cattle will result in a resumption of higher cattle futures into yearend.
Australia is expected to produce its 3rd largest wheat crop ever at 36 mmt adding to the global glut of supplies.
Reports of ASF in hogs in Spain the largest pork exporter in Europe could see the U.S. win more pork export business long-term.
If the rains verify into next week of 3-5 inches for Brazil it would go a long way to fixing the dry regions from the last 2-months, but the European weather model has been wrong for the past 2-months!
Natural gas futures are surging to the 3rd price count as frigid hold temps set in.
CDN $ is also surging to end the week on a very resilient economy and better employment numbers suggesting no interest rate cuts next week.
Finally, the CFTC report showed funds were net buyers of soybeans but sellers of corn, canola and wheat. In real time the funds have gone back to selling as they take some profits.