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Growth in Ethanol Demand will have to Come from Exports

By Meghan Grebner

An ag economist says opportunity for growth in ethanol demand isn’t going to happen in the US.
Tanner Ehmke, manager of CoBank’s Knowledge Exchange, says fundamental shifts in domestic usage of gasoline will force the industry to develop new markets for ethanol.

“We have to look abroad, send it into the export market- places like Brazil and China especially. That is a gigantic market where there is opportunity. Really the focus there for ethanol is where you can grow outside of the US when we have weaker demand here in the US.”

While the coronavirus pandemic has drastically reduced the use of gasoline in the US in 2020, Ehmke does anticipate a post-COVID spike in the coming months.

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This material is based upon work that is supported by the National Institute of Food and Agriculture, U.S. Department of Agriculture, under agreement number 2023-38640-39573 through the North Central Region SARE program under project number ENC23-226. USDA is an equal opportunity employer and service provider. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and should not be construed to represent any official USDA or U.S. Government determination or policy.