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ICE Close: CN Rail Settlement Fails to Rally Canola

Canola futures settled lower on Tuesday, despite a tentative agreement in the week-long CN Rail strike.
 
The two sides in the dispute reached a deal this morning, with workers expected to be back on the job beginning this afternoon and early tomorrow. The walkout had negatively impacted grain movement across the Prairies and put some pressure on canola prices.
 
However, canola futures didn’t respond well to the news of the settlement, with some pressure on values coming from losses in Chicago soybeans.
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USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension

Video: USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension


USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.