Top producer Kansas is expected to help lead the charge as a higher average national yield is forecast to lead to bigger American winter wheat production this year.
In its first survey-based winter wheat estimates released earlier this week, the USDA pegged the 2025 average US winter wheat yield at 53.7 bu/acre, up 2 bu from a year earlier. If accurate, it would be the second highest on record, trailing only 55.3 bu in 2016. The higher average yield more than offsets an expected 1.5% fall in harvested area to 25.71 million acres, with production forecast to rise 2% to 1.381 billion. If accurate, it would be the largest American winter wheat crop since 2016 at 1.672 billion.
Kansas winter wheat harvested area is forecast lower as well – down about 3.5% on the year to 6.9 million acres – but this year’s average yield in the state is projected 7 bu higher at 50 bu/acre, the highest since 2010 at 52 bu. With the higher yield, Kansas winter wheat output this year is pegged at 345 million bu, up a hefty 12% from 2024.
The average Oklahoma yield is projected up 1 bu from 2024 to 39 bu/acre, but a small drop in harvested area is forecast to trim the state’s production to 107.25 million bu, down about 1 million from a year earlier.
Click here to see more...