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Market Analyst Expects Wheat And Canola Prices To Rise In Saskatchewan

 Market Analyst Expects Wheat And Canola Prices To Rise In Saskatchewan
 
A grain market analyst is expecting this year’s record dry spell in Saskatchewan to push up wheat and canola prices during the coming marketing year.
 
Neil Townsend with Farmlink Marketing Solutions says drought in the U.S. has pushed up prices but there is room for more upward movement after the impact of dry weather on the Canadian harvest becomes more apparent.
 
“I look at the February, March, April, May period. That could be the highest transactional prices of the year,” Townsend said. “That’s when I think the difference between the futures and the cash prices will be the lowest.”
 
Townsend, says prices have reached a plateau for the past month. But he believes the winter months will see further movement upward, particularly for wheat and canola.
 
“I think we’re going to see some dynamic prices changes in the canola market,” Townsend said. ” And again, I target that period of next year. Any signs of trouble with the planting conditions, or anything like that, and I think you’re going to see really strong desire by people who use canola to have coverage.”
 
Source : CKRM

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USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.