In 2025, Canadian farmers are projected to produce more canola, corn for grain, oats and lentils, but less spring wheat, durum wheat, soybeans and barley, compared with 2024, according to recent yield model estimates using satellite imagery and agroclimatic data.
In general, crop conditions across the Prairies have been variable throughout the growing season. In some areas, lower-than-average precipitation and prolonged high temperatures have resulted in below-average crop conditions as of the end of July, while parts of Western Canada that received sufficient precipitation saw above average crop conditions. In Alberta, provincial reports indicated that almost two-thirds (64.8%) of major crops were rated as being in good to excellent condition at the end of July, above the five-year average for the period (52.9%). However, some areas lacked sufficient moisture, and this is likely to impact yield. In Saskatchewan, sufficient rainfall in some parts of the province resulted in normal crop development, while moisture stress attributed to dry conditions is reported to have resulted in some crops maturing ahead of normal. Parts of Manitoba received less than half the normal amount of precipitation throughout the growing season as of the end of July, and this—combined with high temperatures early in the growing season—may have impacted yields for some crops.
Like in the Prairies, growing conditions in Eastern Canada have varied. In general, temperatures have been above average throughout the growing season. Rainfall has been below average in much of Ontario and Atlantic Canada. By contrast, much of Quebec has received above-normal rainfall.
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