U.S. Winter Wheat Yield Forecast Up 2% in 2025

May 13, 2025
By Farms.com

Hard Red Winter Wheat Sees 2% Increase

Winter wheat production in the United States is forecasted to reach 1.38 billion bushels, a 2 percent increase from 2024.

As of May 1, the yield is expected to be 53.7 bushels per acre, up 2.0 bushels from last year's average of 51.7 bushels per acre. The area anticipated for grain or seed harvest totals 25.7 million acres, a 1 percent decrease from last year.

Hard Red Winter wheat production is projected at 784 million bushels, up 2 percent from the previous year. Soft Red Winter wheat is forecasted at 345 million bushels, a 1 percent increase from 2024.

White Winter wheat production is expected to be 253 million bushels, up 7 percent from last year. Of this, 20.6 million bushels are Hard White and 232 million bushels are Soft White.

The forecast for all oranges in the United States for the 2024-2025 season is 2.46 million tons, slightly up from the previous forecast but down 8 percent from the 2023-2024 utilization.

In Florida, the all orange forecast is 11.6 million boxes (523,000 tons), up less than 1 percent from the previous forecast but down 36 percent from last season's utilization.

Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecasted at 4.58 million boxes (206,000 tons), down less than 1 percent from the previous forecast but down 32 percent from last season's final utilization.

The Florida Valencia orange forecast is 7.05 million boxes (317,000 tons), up 1 percent from the previous forecast but down 38 percent from last season's utilization.

Video: Why Invest in Canada’s Seed Future? | On The Brink: Episode 3

Darcy Unger just invested millions to build a brand-new seed plant on his farm in Stonewall, Manitoba so when it’s time for his sons to take over, they have the tools they need to succeed.

Right now, 95% of the genetics they’ll be growing come from Canadian plant breeders.

That number matters.

When fusarium hit Western Canada in the late 90s, it was Canadian breeders who responded, because they understood Canadian conditions. That ability to react quickly to what’s happening on Canadian farms is exactly what’s at risk when breeding programs lose funding.

For farmers like Darcy, who have made generational investments based on the assumption that better genetics will keep coming, the stakes are direct and personal.

We’re on the brink of decisions that will shape our agricultural future for not only our generation, but also the ones to come.

What direction will we choose?

On The Brink is a year-long video series traveling across Canada to meet the researchers, breeders, farmers, seed companies, and policymakers shaping the future of Canadian plant breeding. Each week, a new story. Each story, a piece of the bigger picture.

Episode 3 is above. Follow Seed World Canada to catch every episode, and tell us: Do you think the next generation will have the tools they need to success when they takeover? How is the future going to look?