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What’s The Impact of Planting Date on Corn Yields in Ontario?

A common refrain at the ag breakfast meetings held across the province every spring is “we often farm on last year’s weather”. Some of these comments float around on planting dates and yield potential.

For example, 2020 and 2021 benefitted from very early springs. While not always warm, dry sunny conditions allowed field preparation to start as early as late March in some cases and planting was well underway by May 1. Soil conditions generally remained excellent through both springs and large areas of the province experienced exceptional yields.

If early springs are our reference point, years where little field activity has started by May 1 might seem late. So, this begs the question – are we giving up yield potential every day we are waiting on field conditions to shape up now that the calendar has switched to May?

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USDA surprised with higher 2026 U.S. corn yields but it’s early with just over 20% of the U.S. harvest complete. NE, IA and IL corn and soybean yields continue to hold up the national average corn and soybean yields.
U.S. corn crop conditions fell 3% to 54% G-E and NE corn yield goes up 11 bpa with the 2nd wettest to record wet month of September and harvest only 15% complete??????
Some regions in the U.S. had the hottest summer in 140 years while others had record flooding?????
The Black Sea region is worse not better.
Brazilian real rally.
Brazil looks dry into November.
+ CFTC.