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What You Need to Know from AAFC’s April Crop Outlook

It’s been a dry start to 2025 across much of Alberta, and the latest crop outlook from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada confirms what many farmers already feel: we’re heading into another uncertain year.

As of March 31, about 32% of Prairie farmland was classified as abnormally dry or in drought. That number keeps creeping up — it was 23% in February and 26% in January. For Alberta farmers, that’s a red flag going into seeding.

Despite the tough conditions, AAFC expects total seeded area in Canada to rise a bit this year. But production could dip slightly, depending on what kind of spring and summer we get. Prices for most crops are expected to decline, though there are a few bright spots.

Here’s a breakdown of what’s happening — and what Alberta growers should watch this season.

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Mesonet

Video: Mesonet

In the Mesonet Weather Report, Emma White shows how the recent heat wave is impacting the cattle comfort index. State climatologist Gary McManus says the drought picture is still looking good, but the consecutive days without a good amount of rainfall are adding up.