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Moisture altering Ont. farm plans

Moisture altering Ont. farm plans

Some producers missed their window to plant winter wheat

By Diego Flammini
Staff Writer
Farms.com

Cash crop producers in Ontario are being forced to change their fall plans because of consistently wet conditions.

Allan Bogart, for example, wanted to plant winter wheat on his Elgin County farm after soybean harvest. But rain, and now snow, has kept the combines idle. As a result, he missed his opportunity to seed his wheat.

“It’s not a good scene,” he told Farms.com. “I’ve probably got 30 per cent of my soybeans still in the field. We had four inches of rain two weeks ago and it’s snowing now. The fields are way too wet and cold, so (winter wheat) germination would almost be non-existent. That field is going to remain bare once the soybeans come off.”

The moisture is also causing issues for Bogart’s corn crop.

He expected a “record crop,” he said. But vomitoxin levels might affect his crop.

“I haven’t started my corn harvest yet,” he said. “People in the area I’ve spoken with have said DON levels are between 9 and 20 (parts per million). A lot of the corn is already condemned and won’t be useable for livestock feed.”

DON levels are potentially harmful to cattle when they are between 2.5 and 6.0 ppm, OMAFRA says.

“A lot of the corn is virtually worthless and I think, in the next few weeks, you could see a lot of acres (of corn) plowed under with corn still standing,” Bogart said.

Gerald Lamb, a cash crop grower from Huron County, also must rework his fall plans.

He finished soybean harvest a few weeks ago, albeit behind schedule. As a result, he sent his winter wheat seed back to the dealer and is planning another crop for that field.

“The soybean yields were good, considering the season we’ve had,” he told Farms.com. “But, by the time we finished harvest, it was too late to get any winter wheat in. So, I had to send the seed back. The field is bare now but I think I’ll plant barley in the spring.”


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Will the 2025 USDA December Crop Report Be a Market Mover/Surprise?

Video: Will the 2025 USDA December Crop Report Be a Market Mover/Surprise?


Historically, the USDA December crop report is a non-event or another dud report as the USDA reserves any final supply changes to the final report in January of the following year in this case 2026. But after the longest U.S. government shutdown in history at 43 days and no October crop report will they provide more data/surprise and make an exception?
Our China U.S. soybean purchase tracker is now at 26.6% or a total of 3.2 mmt but for traders it’s taking too long to unfold.
The final Stats Canada production report was bearish canola and wheat projection a record crop in both (it adds to the global glut of supplies) and bullish local corn and soybean prices in Ontario/Quebec thanks to a drought. It will not help the fund flow short-term, the USDA may need to offset it?
A U.S. Fed interest rate cut of another 25-basis point next Wednesday (probability 87.1%) could help fund flow and sentiment in stock and ag commodities into year end.
More inflows into Bitcoin this past week saw prices rebound back above 90,000 with support at 82,000 and resistance at 96,000.
A V-shaped bottom in cattle suggest the lows are in after Mexico reported another new world screwworm case. Lower weights, seasonal demand and higher U.S. beef select/choice values with a continued closure of the Mexican border to cattle will result in a resumption of higher cattle futures into yearend.
Australia is expected to produce its 3rd largest wheat crop ever at 36 mmt adding to the global glut of supplies.
Reports of ASF in hogs in Spain the largest pork exporter in Europe could see the U.S. win more pork export business long-term.
If the rains verify into next week of 3-5 inches for Brazil it would go a long way to fixing the dry regions from the last 2-months, but the European weather model has been wrong for the past 2-months!
Natural gas futures are surging to the 3rd price count as frigid hold temps set in.
CDN $ is also surging to end the week on a very resilient economy and better employment numbers suggesting no interest rate cuts next week.
Finally, the CFTC report showed funds were net buyers of soybeans but sellers of corn, canola and wheat. In real time the funds have gone back to selling as they take some profits.