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World pork market shows little upside: Rabobank

Some improvements may come in Q2

By Diego Flammini
Assistant Editor, North American Content
Farms.com

The global pork market will remain weak through the first quarter of 2016, according to a new report from Rabobank.
 
Rabobank's Food & Agribusiness Research diviison does predict some improvement in Q2, it suggests that growth will be mostly seasonal.
 
"Sufficient supply and modest demand development mean the five-nation hog price index will bottom out in the coming months, at the lowest point since 2016," according to the Jan. 28 quarterly report.
 
The report explains that in the U.S., industry expansion should slow after near-record supply growth in 2015, while packers' margins will remain strong due to limited available capacity.
 
"Exports are expected to pick up, supported by low prices, COOL repeal and relisting of plants for export to China."

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USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.