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Harvest Moves Ahead as Warm, Dry Conditions Persist

Warm, dry weather across Alberta has harvest operations moving ahead at a steady clip — but at the expense of much-needed soil moisture, according to the latest crop report.

As of this week, 59 per cent of major crops are now harvested, up 20 points from a week ago. That’s well ahead of both the five-year average of 52 per cent and the ten-year average of 41 per cent.

Regionally, progress looks like this:

  • South: 67% complete
  • Peace Region: 61% complete
  • North West: 59% complete
  • North East: 56% complete
  • Central: 53% complete

By crop, harvest is nearly finished for dry peas (98%), and has advanced strongly in spring wheat (75%), barley (75%), and oats (63%). Canola still has the furthest to go at 28% complete, but one-third of fields have already been swathed.

Dry Weather Speeds Harvest, Depletes Moisture

A few scattered showers popped up in the South and Central regions, but overall conditions remain hot and dry. While this has been a boon for combines, it has left soil reserves dwindling — particularly in the North East, North West, and Peace regions, where moisture stress has been an issue all season.

Surface moisture across the province is rated at 29% good to excellent, well below the five-year average of 43%. Sub-surface moisture tells a similar story at 31% good to excellent compared with the five-year norm of 38%.

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Midwest Weather Shock: Flash Drought Turns Into Heavy Rain Threat This Week (2026 Forecast)

Video: Midwest Weather Shock: Flash Drought Turns Into Heavy Rain Threat This Week (2026 Forecast)

A rapidly changing Midwest weather pattern is unfolding in 2026 as areas that recently slipped into abnormal dryness and flash drought conditions are now facing the threat of heavy rain and repeated storm systems.

After a wet spring erased early drought conditions, regions across Illinois, Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and northern Missouri have quickly dried out again since mid-to-late May. Soil moisture is dropping fast, and crops like corn and soybeans are beginning to feel the stress of rising temperatures and lack of consistent rainfall. Now, weather models show a major shift.

A developing system moving in from the Northern Plains is expected to bring multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms, with the potential for locally heavy rainfall across the Midwest. While some areas may miss out, others could finally see much-needed relief from the growing dryness. In this video, we break down:

Current drought conditions across the Midwest

Why a flash drought is developing quickly

Timing and path of incoming storm systems

Which states are most likely to see heavy rain

How long this wet pattern could last

Will this rain end the drought or create new flooding risks? Watch the full forecast to find out.