Hursh: Comparing crop yields month-over-month

Oct 10, 2025

The Saskatchewan crop has become larger as harvest has progressed.

Here are some comparisons between the yield estimates in Thursday’s crop report to the estimates made back in early September.

Only a couple crops have seen their yield estimates reduced over the past month.

Oats are down one bushel to 92 bushels an acre. Soybeans are also down a bushel to 39 bushels per acre. Barley remains the same as the provincial estimate made in early September – 71 bushels per acre and field peas are the same at 42. Other crops are up. Durum is up by 3 bushels to 41. Flax is up a bushel to 26.

The canola yield estimate is up 3 bushels to 42. Spring wheat is up one to 51 bushels. Mustard has improved by 51 pounds per acre to 1192 pounds. Canary seed is up 76 pounds to 1419. Lentils are up 128 pounds to a provincial average of 1922.

Chickpeas have the biggest price improvement going to 1817 pounds an acre, an increase of 195 pounds. In most cases, crop quality is good, but price levels remain a disappointment and improved yield estimates will not help.

Click here to see more...

Video: Wheat Futures Head for the Moon on Escalating Drought Concerns

???? Wheat surges on drought: Prices jumped to multi-week highs as worsening dryness grips the Plains, with 70% of winter wheat in drought. Corn edged higher, while soybeans slipped.

??????? Mixed weather pattern: Rain improved parts of the Corn Belt, but drought worsened elsewhere—especially the High Plains and Kentucky. Nebraska conditions sharply deteriorated, with 56% in extreme drought.

????? Oil spikes on tensions: Crude climbed over 3% near $96 as Iran keeps the Strait of Hormuz restricted, while fragile ceasefires keep geopolitical risk elevated. ???? Pulses gain favor: Farmers are shifting to peas and lentils as a rare profit opportunity, driven by strong protein demand and lower input costs.

???? Exports mixed but solid: Corn sales dipped week-over-week but remain strong overall; soybean and wheat sales showed mixed trends, with steady global demand.