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New StatsCan Tool Shows Daily Movement of Grain by Rail

Statistics Canada on Thursday released a new interactive tool that will allow users to track grain movement by rail. 

The so-called Grain Supply Chain Dashboard displays in map form the daily movement of grain, detailing estimates of tonnage flows per unit of time, along segments of the railway network, stations, and ports. The dashboard brings together data from multiple sources and displays three main indicators: the number of cars entering, enroute, and exiting at the corridor level; a railcar's daily last known station; and 48-hour or more dwelling time of cars. 

Developed in partnership with the Ag Transport Coalition, the dashboard is part of a broader effort by Statistics Canada to provide real-time statistical information about issues affecting supply chains in Canada, the federal agency said. The Ag Transport Coalition represents the coalition of agriculture associations that have come together to jointly fund a five-year initiative aimed at enhancing the competitiveness of the agriculture supply chain.

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Wheat Yields in USA and China Threatened by Heat Waves Breaking Enzymes

Video: Wheat Yields in USA and China Threatened by Heat Waves Breaking Enzymes

A new peer reviewed study looks at the generally unrecognized risk of heat waves surpassing the threshold for enzyme damage in wheat.

Most studies that look at crop failure in the main food growing regions (breadbaskets of the planet) look at temperatures and droughts in the historical records to assess present day risk. Since the climate system has changed, these historical based risk analysis studies underestimate the present-day risks.

What this new research study does is generate an ensemble of plausible scenarios for the present climate in terms of temperatures and precipitation, and looks at how many of these plausible scenarios exceed the enzyme-breaking temperature of 32.8 C for wheat, and exceed the high stress yield reducing temperature of 27.8 C for wheat. Also, the study considers the possibility of a compounded failure with heat waves in both regions simultaneously, this greatly reducing global wheat supply and causing severe shortages.

Results show that the likelihood (risk) of wheat crop failure with a one-in-hundred likelihood in 1981 has in today’s climate become increased by 16x in the USA winter wheat crop (to one-in-six) and by 6x in northeast China (to one-in-sixteen).

The risks determined in this new paper are much greater than that obtained in previous work that determines risk by analyzing historical climate patterns.

Clearly, since the climate system is rapidly changing, we cannot assume stationarity and calculate risk probabilities like we did traditionally before.

We are essentially on a new planet, with a new climate regime, and have to understand that everything is different now.