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North Dakota Farmers Switching from Corn to Soybeans, Sunflowers

Seeding delays will likely cost some corn acres in North Dakota, with producers in the state expected to plant more soybeans and sunflowers instead, according to a local analyst. 

Tom Lilja of Progressive Ag in Fargo, ND said it’s relatively common for producers to switch out of corn and into other alternatives in the event of planting delays, especially with some just getting a good start on the fieldwork over the weekend. Monday’s weekly USDA crop progress report showed just 5% of intended North Dakota corn acres had been planted as of Sunday, well below the five-year average of 26%. 

“Guys just started rolling here on (May 14 and 15) fairly heavy. There was a little rain system we had that put a damper on things last week.” 

Cold and wet spring conditions have again made planting a challenge for North Dakota producers, after a similarly difficult time a year ago. Rainfall across the state this past week ranged from a trace to three inches, with isolated areas receiving 4-5 inches. Although a return to warmer and drier weather this week is expected to accelerate progress, some other farmers are reportedly still waiting to even get started. 

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Midwest Weather Shock: Flash Drought Turns Into Heavy Rain Threat This Week (2026 Forecast)

Video: Midwest Weather Shock: Flash Drought Turns Into Heavy Rain Threat This Week (2026 Forecast)

A rapidly changing Midwest weather pattern is unfolding in 2026 as areas that recently slipped into abnormal dryness and flash drought conditions are now facing the threat of heavy rain and repeated storm systems.

After a wet spring erased early drought conditions, regions across Illinois, Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and northern Missouri have quickly dried out again since mid-to-late May. Soil moisture is dropping fast, and crops like corn and soybeans are beginning to feel the stress of rising temperatures and lack of consistent rainfall. Now, weather models show a major shift.

A developing system moving in from the Northern Plains is expected to bring multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms, with the potential for locally heavy rainfall across the Midwest. While some areas may miss out, others could finally see much-needed relief from the growing dryness. In this video, we break down:

Current drought conditions across the Midwest

Why a flash drought is developing quickly

Timing and path of incoming storm systems

Which states are most likely to see heavy rain

How long this wet pattern could last

Will this rain end the drought or create new flooding risks? Watch the full forecast to find out.