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Push against Brazil's ethanol tax to aid US farmers

By Farms.com

A coalition of 20 GOP legislators, spearheaded by Reps. Randy Feenstra and Darin LaHood, has launched a campaign urging the administration to address Brazil's escalating ethanol import tariff, which threatens to undermine the competitiveness of US ethanol. This call to action is part of a broader initiative to enhance market access for US biofuels and agricultural products, advocating for reciprocal trade agreements and the removal of existing trade impediments.

In their communications to senior officials, including U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai and Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack, the lawmakers emphasize the disparity in trade policies that favor Brazilian ethanol with incentives in the US, while American ethanol faces barriers in Brazil. They highlight the need for engagement during the public-comment period on Brazil's tariff decision to protect US interests.

Beyond the immediate issue with Brazil, the initiative seeks to challenge restrictive trade practices worldwide that limit US biofuels' market access, such as India's import ban and the UK's biofuel caps.

By addressing these challenges, the lawmakers aim to secure a more robust and equitable global market for US biofuels and agriculture, thereby supporting American farmers, enhancing energy security, and promoting environmental sustainability. Their efforts reflect the critical role of trade policy in supporting the US biofuel industry and agricultural sector amidst evolving global market dynamics.


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Will the 2025 USDA December Crop Report Be a Market Mover/Surprise?

Video: Will the 2025 USDA December Crop Report Be a Market Mover/Surprise?


Historically, the USDA December crop report is a non-event or another dud report as the USDA reserves any final supply changes to the final report in January of the following year in this case 2026. But after the longest U.S. government shutdown in history at 43 days and no October crop report will they provide more data/surprise and make an exception?
Our China U.S. soybean purchase tracker is now at 26.6% or a total of 3.2 mmt but for traders it’s taking too long to unfold.
The final Stats Canada production report was bearish canola and wheat projection a record crop in both (it adds to the global glut of supplies) and bullish local corn and soybean prices in Ontario/Quebec thanks to a drought. It will not help the fund flow short-term, the USDA may need to offset it?
A U.S. Fed interest rate cut of another 25-basis point next Wednesday (probability 87.1%) could help fund flow and sentiment in stock and ag commodities into year end.
More inflows into Bitcoin this past week saw prices rebound back above 90,000 with support at 82,000 and resistance at 96,000.
A V-shaped bottom in cattle suggest the lows are in after Mexico reported another new world screwworm case. Lower weights, seasonal demand and higher U.S. beef select/choice values with a continued closure of the Mexican border to cattle will result in a resumption of higher cattle futures into yearend.
Australia is expected to produce its 3rd largest wheat crop ever at 36 mmt adding to the global glut of supplies.
Reports of ASF in hogs in Spain the largest pork exporter in Europe could see the U.S. win more pork export business long-term.
If the rains verify into next week of 3-5 inches for Brazil it would go a long way to fixing the dry regions from the last 2-months, but the European weather model has been wrong for the past 2-months!
Natural gas futures are surging to the 3rd price count as frigid hold temps set in.
CDN $ is also surging to end the week on a very resilient economy and better employment numbers suggesting no interest rate cuts next week.
Finally, the CFTC report showed funds were net buyers of soybeans but sellers of corn, canola and wheat. In real time the funds have gone back to selling as they take some profits.