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Soybean Producers Broke Another Record and Hopefully Won’t Break the Bank

By John Lovett

Soybean farmers keep breaking yield records, for a few reasons, but more beans don’t necessarily equate to happy bean counters.

On top of a nearly 2 percent yield increase, Arkansas farmers planted 4 percent more soybeans in 2024. The yield average was 55 bushels per acre on 3.02 million acres, up 70,000 acres from last year. Arkansas produced 166 million bushels of soybeans this year, according to the latest “Crop Production” report from the National Agricultural Statistics Service.

“The USDA projection of 55 bushels is in line with what I’ve seen,” said Jeremy Ross, professor and extension soybean agronomist for the University of Arkansas System Division of Agriculture. “Even though it’s a little better than last year, farmers are still hurting because commodity prices have declined, and the expenses are still higher.”

While 2023 soybean prices offered up to $12.80 per bushel, 2024 prices dived and hovered around $10. As with anything in economics, it is a supply and demand issue, but with a twist. Corn prices were still low earlier this year, about $4 a bushel, so many farmers planted soybeans in hopes of a profit, or as Ross says, “to not lose more money.”

“Brazil is also producing more soybeans, and we grew more soybeans than last year,” Ross added. “Equipment prices are up. Inputs are up. Everything is inflated.”

Challenge accepted

Although every growing year is slightly different due to the weather, Ross said several baseline factors contribute to record-breaking yields for Arkansas soybean farmers. One of them is a contest that began in 1999 and served as an incentive to learn new research-based management practices and try out a few new things of their own.

The Grow for the Green Soybean Yield Contest is administered by the Arkansas Soybean Association and sponsored by the Arkansas Soybean Promotion Board, with crop management assistance provided by the Division of Agriculture’s outreach arm, the Cooperative Extension Service.

The highest yield in the contest’s first year in 1999 was 76.73 bushels per acre. By 2003, the winning count was 83 bushels. Then, in 2007, the 90-bushel barrier was broken. In 2011, five farmers produced more than 90 bushels per acre, and just a few years later, a couple of farmers reached the 100-bushel-per-acre mark, including Matt Miles in Desha County with 108.7 bushels.

“This year, we had eight new farmers break 100, and close to 40 farmers have broken 100 bushels an acre since the contest began,” Ross said. “Most of their production methods are coming from our recommendations. But based on the information provided to me and the association, there’s nothing dramatic causing the yields. It has a lot to do with planting early, and timely applications.

“A lot of these guys are really particular with their management practices. They’re on time with everything,” Ross said. “Timeliness is big. If you’re a week off of fertility, or fungicide, or herbicide, and weeds get out of hand, you can hurt your yields.”

Among the particulars of management practices for top-yielding soybean producers are seeding rates, planting depth, and foliar feed — nutrients sprayed on the plants, some of which have micronutrients like copper, boron, sulfur and iron.

Soil and genetics

Although management is a deciding factor, yield expectations may vary depending on soil type and drainage. Ross said the first record breakers were on old cotton ground with high fertility and good water infiltration. Chapter five of the Arkansas Soybean Production Handbook, co-written by Ross, noted that soil-associated yield limitations like poor drainage and excessive drainage are “potentially greater yield-limiting factors than soil fertility.”

Ross said that soybean genetics have also played a part in improving yields, with varieties better adapted to the environment with “defensive packages” for nematodes, disease and drought tolerance.

Planting earlier

In just the past few years, Ross said he has noticed more farmers coming around to the idea of planting earlier — at the end of February or early March instead of April or May.

“There’s been a big push to plant a month earlier than 10 years ago because we have data showing it leads up to 10 percentage points better production,” Ross said. “It takes farmers proving it to themselves on a few acres.”

Early planting, made possible by a shift in rain and temperature patterns, may assist in avoiding late-season insect problems and possibly outrun some hotter temperatures in July, Ross said. An earlier harvest has also allowed early planters to prepare their fields for the following season when the ground is dry in the fall.

Drought and storms

Although the weather at the beginning of the season went well for soybean growers this year, June and July were very dry, and August pushed it to drought conditions.

Three tropical storms birthed by hurricanes also moved over Arkansas this summer. Row crops were mostly unaffected by Tropical Storm Beryl in early July, but two storms in September — Francine and Helene — did some damage.

Some soybean farmers took a hit on quality since they could not get out in the field to harvest the crop in time. Ross estimates that 1 to 2 percent of the state’s crop was affected by storm quality issues. But for the few who did get hit, they got walloped.

“For them, it was a perfect storm scenario where the beans that couldn’t be harvested because of Francine went through harsh conditions,” Ross said. “Beans sat out longer than they should have because they couldn’t get to them. It was significant and detrimental.”

He ranked the quality issues second to the 2018 harvest when harvest season rains led to lower-quality harvested beans.

When a wide-scale harvest was possible this year, farmers brought it in within about a week.

But the No. 1 thing this year, Ross said, was commodity prices averaging $2 per bushel less than last year, which were already lower than the previous year.

“They’re struggling just to cover costs,” Ross said. “It’s going to be a hard winter because a lot of farmers are making decisions to carry debt to next year even though we set a record in soybeans.”

To learn more about the Division of Agriculture research, visit the Arkansas Agricultural Experiment Station website. Follow us on X at @ArkAgResearch, subscribe to the Food, Farms and Forests podcast and sign up for our monthly newsletter, the Arkansas Agricultural Research Report. To learn more about the Division of Agriculture, visit uada.edu. Follow us on X at @AgInArk. To learn about extension programs in Arkansas, contact your local Cooperative Extension Service agent or visit uaex.uada.edu.

About the Division of Agriculture

The University of Arkansas System Division of Agriculture’s mission is to strengthen agriculture, communities, and families by connecting trusted research to the adoption of best practices. Through the Agricultural Experiment Station and the Cooperative Extension Service, the Division of Agriculture conducts research and extension work within the nation’s historic land grant education system.

The Division of Agriculture is one of 20 entities within the University of Arkansas System. It has offices in all 75 counties in Arkansas and faculty on five system campuses.

The University of Arkansas System Division of Agriculture offers all its Extension and Research programs and services without regard to race, color, sex, gender identity, sexual orientation, national origin, religion, age, disability, marital or veteran status, genetic information, or any other legally protected status, and is an Affirmative Action/Equal Opportunity Employer.

Source : uada.edu

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Spring 2026 weather outlook for Wisconsin; What an early-arriving El Niño could mean

Video: Spring 2026 weather outlook for Wisconsin; What an early-arriving El Niño could mean

Northeast Wisconsin is a small corner of the world, but our weather is still affected by what happens across the globe.

That includes in the equatorial Pacific, where changes between El Niño and La Niña play a role in the weather here -- and boy, have there been some abrupt changes as of late.

El Niño and La Niña are the two phases of what is collectively known as the El Niño Southern Oscillation, or ENSO for short. These are the swings back and forth from unusually warm to unusually cold sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean along the equator.

Since this past September, we have been in a weak La Niña, which means water temperatures near the Eastern Pacific equator have been cooler than usual. That's where we're at right now.

Even last fall, the long-term outlook suggested a return to neutral conditions by spring and potentially El Niño conditions by summer.

But there are some signs this may be happening faster than usual, which could accelerate the onset of El Niño.

Over the last few weeks, unusually strong bursts of westerly winds farther west in the Pacific -- where sea surface temperatures are warmer than average -- have been observed. There is a chance that this could accelerate the warming of those eastern Pacific waters and potentially push us into El Niño sooner than usual.

If we do enter El Nino by spring -- which we'll define as the period of March, April and May -- there are some long-term correlations with our weather here in Northeast Wisconsin.

Looking at a map of anomalously warm weather, most of the upper Great Lakes doesn't show a strong correlation, but in general, the northern tiers of the United States do tend to lean to that direction.

The stronger correlation is with precipitation. El Niño conditions in spring have historically come with a higher risk of very dry weather over that time frame, so this will definitely be a transition we'll have to watch closely as we move out of winter.