US Corn, Soybean Yield Estimates Seen Lower in Friday USDA Reports

Nov 13, 2025

The USDA’s first US corn and soybean yield estimates since September are expected to show smaller crops.

Due for release on Friday at noon ET, the USDA crop reports come with the 2025 American corn and soybean harvest essentially now complete. The last reports were released Sept. 12 just as the harvest was beginning, with the record-long US government shutdown scuttling the USDA’s October update in the meantime.

With harvest data now largely in hand, analysts are bracing for cuts to production estimates in both major row crops. A Reuters poll ahead of Friday’s crop production report shows expectations for average corn yields to fall 2.7 bu/acre from September to 184 bu/acre. If realized, total production would decline by 257 million bu, dropping to 16.557 billion. Despite the reduced output, analysts expect USDA’s WASDE report to show a modest increase in corn ending stocks — up 26 million bu to 2.136 billion — as higher-than-anticipated Sept. 1 inventories are factored in.

Soybean estimates are also set for a slight trim. Traders surveyed by Reuters project average soybean yields at 53.1 bu/acre, down 0.4 bu/acre from September. That would reduce total production by about 35 million bu to 4.266 billion. Analysts see ending stocks rising marginally to 304 million bu, compared with 300 million in September, as slower export demand continues to weigh on the balance sheet.

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Video: Winter Canola Trial in Mississippi | Can It Work for Double Cropping? | Pioneer Agronomy

Can winter canola open new opportunities for growers in the Mid-South? In this agronomy update from Noxubee County, Mississippi, Pioneer agronomist Gus Eifling shares an early look at a first-year winter canola trial and what farmers are learning from the field.

Planted in late October on 30-inch rows, the crop is now entering the bloom stage and progressing quickly. In this video, we walk through current field conditions, fertility management, and how timing could make this crop a valuable option for double-cropping soybeans or cotton.

If harvest timing lines up with early May, growers may be able to transition directly into another crop during ideal planting windows. Ongoing field trials will help determine whether canola could become a viable rotational option for the region.

Watch for:

How winter canola is performing in its first season in this Mississippi field

Why growers chose 30-inch rows for this trial

What the crop looks like as it moves from bolting into bloom

Fertility strategy, including nitrogen and sulfur applications

How canola harvest timing could enable double-cropping with soybeans or cotton

Upcoming trials comparing soybeans after canola vs. traditional planting

As more growers look for ways to maximize acres and diversify rotations, experiments like this help determine what new crops might fit into existing systems.