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Corn and soybean markets witness price recovery

Sep 04, 2024
By Farms.com

Unexpected rise in grain futures amid market volatility

 

 

In a surprising turn, grain markets have found a foothold above their recent lows, with corn and soybean futures experiencing gains. This resilience is a response to various factors, including favorable weather forecasts and promising export data, which have contributed to stabilizing prices.

During the final days of August, market movements were particularly notable. December corn futures nearly returned to previous lows, benefiting from a series of trading day gains. Meanwhile, November soybeans accumulated a significant overall increase throughout the week.

The market's recovery has been bolstered by optimistic agricultural forecasts and positive export news, which have alleviated some concerns about potential declines.

Specifically, the possibility of increased rainfall in key farming regions provided a brief respite, although it initially led to a dip in prices.

Global trade dynamics are also influencing market trends. Significant increases in soybean imports by China and stable export projections from major producers like Brazil and Argentina underline a strong international demand for U.S. grains.

Despite a positive week, market analysts caution that this may represent only a temporary correction rather than a long-term trend shift. They recommend that farmers maintain a strategic approach to marketing their grain, considering futures and options to manage risks associated with volatile market conditions.

 


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USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.