Farms.com Home   Ag Industry News

Trade war continues to hurt crop prices

Trade war continues to hurt crop prices

Soybeans are trading under US$8 per bushel

By Diego Flammini
Staff Writer
Farms.com

Grain prices are down amid the continued trade war between the United States and China.

On Monday, China announced its intention to raise tariffs on several U.S. products. The import levies will range from 5 to 25 percent depending on the goods.

Those tariffs will come into effect June 1, China’s government announced.

This move comes in retaliation to Friday’s notification that the U.S. Trade Representative increased tariffs from 10 percent to 25 percent on US$200-billion worth of Chinese goods.

The U.S. plans to place more tariffs on Chinese products on Monday, Bloomberg reported.

As the federal governments of those two countries place additional tariffs on one another, trading prices in several markets are declining.

July and August soybean prices are trading for under US$8 per bushel as of mid-Monday morning, the Chicago Board of Trade says. Corn futures for July and September are around US$3.50 per bushel and wheat prices for July and September are hovering between US$4.25 and US$4.33 per bushel.

Barring a significant weather-driven crop hiccup, low ag commodity prices could be the status quo until the U.S. and China come to an agreement, said Abhinesh Gopal, head of commodity research with Farms.com Risk Management.

The trade war is the “real singular point of pressure on all of the ag markets,” he told Farms.com. “But, for all we know, this could all change tomorrow. The markets are very much news related. It’s uncharted territory as far as this trade war related market dynamic is concerned.”

Farmers are discouraged by the latest tariff exchange.

Each round of talks that goes by without a deal is detrimental to farmers, said Davie Stephens, president of the American Soybean Association.

“The U.S. has been at the table with China 11 times now and still has not closed the deal,” he said in a statement Monday. “What that means for soybean growers is that we’re losing. Losing a valuable market, losing stable pricing (and) losing an opportunity to support our families and our communities.”


Trending Video

Is China Buying US Soybeans + USDA Nov 14th Crop Report could be “Game Changing”

Video: Is China Buying US Soybeans + USDA Nov 14th Crop Report could be “Game Changing”


After a week of a U.S./China trade truce, markets/trade is skeptical that we have not seen a signed agreement nor heard much from China or seen any details. There are rumors that China is buying soybean futures & not the physical. Trust in Trump?
12 MMT of U.S. soybean purchases by China by year-end is better than 0 but we all need to give it more time and give it a chance to unfold. China did lower the tariffs on Ag and is buying U.S. wheat and sorghum.
U.S. supreme court could rule against Trumps tariffs, but the Trump administration does have a plan B.
U.S. government shutdown is now the longest in history at 38 days.
But despite a U.S. government shutdown we will be getting a USDA November crop report next Friday and it could be “game changing.” If the USDA provides a bullish surprise with lower U.S. corn and soybean yields and ending stocks that are lower than expected both corn and soybean futures will break out above their ceilings at $4.35/bu and $11.35/bu respectively.
The funds continued their selling in live and feeder cattle futures on continued fears that the Trump administration want to lower U.S. beef prices. The fundamentals have not changed, only market psychology has.
Stocks markets continue to worry about a weak U.S. job market, but you can blame ChatGPT for that. In the future, we will have a more efficient, productive and growing economy with a higher unemployment rate until we have more skilled AI workers.
After 34 new record highs in the S & P 500 and 124 new records in the NASDAQ in 2025 we are back to a correction and investor profit taking as AI valuations may have gotten too stretched near-term ahead of NVDA’s 3rd quarter earnings announcement on Nov. 19th. But this is not an AI bubble.
75% of Tesla shareholders approved a $1 trillion pay package for Elon Musk!
It has rained in South America in the last 7 days, but both the American and European models agree that Central Brazil remains dry in the next 14-days!