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U.S. farmers may add corn acres in 2019

U.S. farmers may add corn acres in 2019

Tariffs are playing a role in planting intentions, one producer says

By Diego Flammini
Staff Writer
Farms.com

As the calendar inches towards 2019, American farmers are busy making plans for next year’s planting season.

Commodity prices and input costs are typical factors in farmers’ decision-making processes, but next year’s crop plans will also be shaped by tariff implications.

The trade war between China and the United States has resulted in low soybean prices. Despite a recent trade truce between the two countries, a concrete end to the trade war remains unknown.

Growers are taking that situation into consideration when planning next year’s crops, said Bill Shipley, president of the Iowa Soybean Association.

“There is some discussion of switching acres from soybeans to corn,” he told Farms.com. “On my farm, we’ll maybe have 15 to 20 percent more corn than beans. If everyone does the same, the corn can add up pretty quickly.”

The weather is also playing a role in next year’s planting intentions.

Conditions became cold and snowy quicker than usual, which prevented farmers from doing some fieldwork, Shipley said.

“It turned to winter so early that not a lot of fertilizer got put down,” he said. “We usually do it in the fall, but (we) basically none got done.”

In other cases, farmers are sticking with their standard rotation to divide their grain acres.

“Bean acres were up (across the state) this year and will be down next year because of crop rotation,” Bob Karls, executive director of the Wisconsin Soybean Association, told Farms.com.

He also, however, pointed to some factors that may encourage growers to plant more soybean acres.

“Fertilizer costs are really high and soybeans help eliminate some of the need for fertilizer,” he said. “Bankers also help make the decision on planting intentions, and a lot of times soybeans are viewed more favorably.”

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Trending Video

US “Flash Drought” Worst in 133-160 Years + Disease taking a Bite out of US 2025 Corn/Soybean Crops

Video: US “Flash Drought” Worst in 133-160 Years + Disease taking a Bite out of US 2025 Corn/Soybean Crops


A dry August and a “flash drought” in the ECB (Eastern Corn Belt) the driest top 10 to 15 years in 150 to 160 years (Ohio the driest in 133 years) plus disease is taking a bite out of the 2025 U.S. corn and soybean crops.
It's going to be an early harvest. This could be the start of the 89-year drought cycle that may have been delayed until 2026 as La Nina maybe returning.
The USDA September crop report is all about record corn ears and record soybean counts but the October USDA crop report will be about pod and ear weights.
Stats Canada reported higher forecasts for the 2025 Canadian Prairies all wheat and canola crops vs. last year based on satellite imagery but are they overestimating production?
The 2025 Great ON Yield Tour and Quebec crop tours are projecting corn and soybean crops below the 10-year average.
China's Vice Commerce Ministry Li Chenggang visits Washington this week as we continue to connect the dots is a positive sign towards a China/U.S. trade deal. But will U.S. farmers have a winter without China as they buy more soybeans from Uruguay/Argentina? U.S. Northern Plain soybean farmers are seeing red with flat prices at $8.97/bu!
U.S. corn exports on record pace up 99% vs. last year.
Fund short covering continues in corn futures bottom is in!