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Crop Pest Update

Summary

Insects: Grasshopper nymphs are being managed in some areas; some of these being field edge treatments. Alfalfa weevil is a concern in some alfalfa fields in the Eastern, Interlake and Central regions. Some have cut their alfalfa early as a means of managing the alfalfa weevil, others have used insecticides. Barley thrips are being noted in some barley fields, a field in the southwest was at boarderline threshold. Aphids are present in cereals in the Central and Eastern regions, but not at threshold levels. People are noting a lot of blister beetles in some crops; some of the species that seem to be abundant have larval stages that specialize in feeding on grasshopper eggs. Cereal leaf beetle feeding has been noted on some wheat and oat fields in the Eastern region; samples have been collected to determine the percent that are parasitized.

Diseases: The disease issues for the week have been, in order of reporting prevalence – 1. Bacterial blight in oats, 2. White heads in fall rye (primarily hybrid type) caused by numerous environmental stresses, not insect or pathogen, and 3. Lower canopy lesions in field peas (bacterial or fungal?).

Weeds: Spraying continues across the province, as some crops were reseeded we’ve got a big range in growth stages. Cereals are pretty much wrapped up, canola and soybeans have mostly had their first spray and second sprays are ongoing. Earliest fields were sprayed weeks ago, keep up with post –spray scouting so we can see which weeds have been missed or have started to regrow. Some products give good in-crop burnoff of bigger weeds or perennials but later the weeds start to regrow. If this is a problem in your fields then evaluate your herbicide choices, a different product might be better for next year. Plan your pre-harvest and post-harvest sprays to take care of these weeds that got missed. When doing a second spray in canola or soybeans leave at least 10 days between applications to let the crops recover. Watch crop staging to make sure you’re still within the maximum growth stage for crop safety and pre-harvest intervals.

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Will the 2025 USDA December Crop Report Be a Market Mover/Surprise?

Video: Will the 2025 USDA December Crop Report Be a Market Mover/Surprise?


Historically, the USDA December crop report is a non-event or another dud report as the USDA reserves any final supply changes to the final report in January of the following year in this case 2026. But after the longest U.S. government shutdown in history at 43 days and no October crop report will they provide more data/surprise and make an exception?
Our China U.S. soybean purchase tracker is now at 26.6% or a total of 3.2 mmt but for traders it’s taking too long to unfold.
The final Stats Canada production report was bearish canola and wheat projection a record crop in both (it adds to the global glut of supplies) and bullish local corn and soybean prices in Ontario/Quebec thanks to a drought. It will not help the fund flow short-term, the USDA may need to offset it?
A U.S. Fed interest rate cut of another 25-basis point next Wednesday (probability 87.1%) could help fund flow and sentiment in stock and ag commodities into year end.
More inflows into Bitcoin this past week saw prices rebound back above 90,000 with support at 82,000 and resistance at 96,000.
A V-shaped bottom in cattle suggest the lows are in after Mexico reported another new world screwworm case. Lower weights, seasonal demand and higher U.S. beef select/choice values with a continued closure of the Mexican border to cattle will result in a resumption of higher cattle futures into yearend.
Australia is expected to produce its 3rd largest wheat crop ever at 36 mmt adding to the global glut of supplies.
Reports of ASF in hogs in Spain the largest pork exporter in Europe could see the U.S. win more pork export business long-term.
If the rains verify into next week of 3-5 inches for Brazil it would go a long way to fixing the dry regions from the last 2-months, but the European weather model has been wrong for the past 2-months!
Natural gas futures are surging to the 3rd price count as frigid hold temps set in.
CDN $ is also surging to end the week on a very resilient economy and better employment numbers suggesting no interest rate cuts next week.
Finally, the CFTC report showed funds were net buyers of soybeans but sellers of corn, canola and wheat. In real time the funds have gone back to selling as they take some profits.