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Federal-provincial partnership to support sustainable agriculture

A new federal-provincial partnership will support the sustainability and competitiveness of the province’s agriculture sector.

The Sustainable Canadian Agricultural Partnership is a cost-shared suite of targeted programs that will make $8.5 million available annually to strengthen the competitiveness, innovation, and resiliency of the agriculture, agri‐food and agri‐based products sector. This is a 25 per cent increase in support for New Brunswick producers.

“This new partnership will help New Brunswick’s agriculture, agri‐food and agri‐based products sector meet future challenges and build on a successful 2022,” said Agriculture, Aquaculture and Fisheries Minister Margaret Johnson. “The sector contributes significantly to the provincial economy and employs thousands of New Brunswickers. The men and women who work in the sector are proud of what they deliver to our tables and we are proud to support them.”

The Sustainable Canadian Agricultural Partnership is a new $3.5-billion, five-year agreement. This includes $1 billion in federal programs and activities and a $2.5 billion commitment that is cost-shared 60 per cent federally and 40 per cent provincially/territorially for programs that are designed and delivered by provinces and territories.

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Wheat Yields in USA and China Threatened by Heat Waves Breaking Enzymes

Video: Wheat Yields in USA and China Threatened by Heat Waves Breaking Enzymes

A new peer reviewed study looks at the generally unrecognized risk of heat waves surpassing the threshold for enzyme damage in wheat.

Most studies that look at crop failure in the main food growing regions (breadbaskets of the planet) look at temperatures and droughts in the historical records to assess present day risk. Since the climate system has changed, these historical based risk analysis studies underestimate the present-day risks.

What this new research study does is generate an ensemble of plausible scenarios for the present climate in terms of temperatures and precipitation, and looks at how many of these plausible scenarios exceed the enzyme-breaking temperature of 32.8 C for wheat, and exceed the high stress yield reducing temperature of 27.8 C for wheat. Also, the study considers the possibility of a compounded failure with heat waves in both regions simultaneously, this greatly reducing global wheat supply and causing severe shortages.

Results show that the likelihood (risk) of wheat crop failure with a one-in-hundred likelihood in 1981 has in today’s climate become increased by 16x in the USA winter wheat crop (to one-in-six) and by 6x in northeast China (to one-in-sixteen).

The risks determined in this new paper are much greater than that obtained in previous work that determines risk by analyzing historical climate patterns.

Clearly, since the climate system is rapidly changing, we cannot assume stationarity and calculate risk probabilities like we did traditionally before.

We are essentially on a new planet, with a new climate regime, and have to understand that everything is different now.