Farms.com Home   News

March WASDE reacts to Ukraine conflict

The USDA released its March WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates) report Wednesday.

Jon Driedger is with LeftField Commodity Research.

"The biggest factor is what's going on in Ukraine and what does that mean for the grain shipments out of the region," he said. "From a USDA perspective, they lowered wheat exports out of both Russia and Ukraine. One of the things that we have to remember is the vast majority of the exports out of those countries move late summer, fall, early winter, so it wasn't a dramatic decrease in exports, because of the seasonal nature of that movement, but they did lower shipments out of that region and more exports out of Australia and India to partially make up for it, maybe some lower imports."

Driedger commented on the upcoming planting season.

"A lot of the Ukrainian crop is winter crops, things like mostly winter wheat, is most of the wheat that's grown. Their rapeseed or canola is largely winter crops and so those crops were planted last fall. They're major exporters of corn, of sunflowers. The conflict tends to happen more in urban areas but that doesn't mean there's not a lot of disruption and uncertainty about what this means for production going forward.

Click here to see more...

Trending Video

2026 USDA June Crop Report Neutral + U S HRW LOWEST SINCE 1965!

Video: 2026 USDA June Crop Report Neutral + U S HRW LOWEST SINCE 1965!

There were no big surprises in the USDA June report as it historically is not a market moving report, but U.S. HRW production was lowered by 18 million bushels. The June USDA crop report was neutral- higher global stocks & South American production offset lower U.S. wheat and higher U.S. corn exports.
Crude oil breaking lower technically on news of a peace deal with Iran.
Elon Musk is now a trillionaire with the debut of the SpaceX IPO today!
Markets pricing in a 2026 U.S. corn yield at 187 bpa with the worst start to June in 50+ years on non-threatening weather that remains a “wild card".
El Nino has arrived according to CPC.
U.S. wholesale Gulf urea prices plunged 81.3%.
The spreading of screwworm in the U.S. is BULLISH cattle long-term.
+ CFTC fund flow.