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US All Wheat Output Little Changed from Last Year

US all wheat production for 2025 is estimated to be little changed from a year earlier, as a higher average yield largely offset a smaller harvested area 

The USDA small grains summary on Tuesday pegged total American all wheat production for this year at 1.984 billion bu, up less than 1% from the revised 2024 crop of 1.978 billion. That was slightly above the average pre-report trade guess and a bit higher than the estimate contained in last month’s USDA crop production report. 

The small grains report showed 2025 US all wheat harvested area at 37.2 million acres, down 4% from 2024, while the national average yield was pegged at 53.3 bu/acre, up 2.1 bu from a year ago. 

Winter wheat production totaled 1.402 billion bu, up 3% from 2024’s 1.35 billion. The average winter wheat yield was estimated at 54.9 bu/acre, up 3.2 bu from last year. Harvested acreage fell 3% to 25.5 million acres. By class, Hard Red Winter output reached 804 million bu, up 4% from a year earlier, while Soft Red Winter production came in at 353 million bu, up 2%. White winter wheat totaled 244 million bu, a 3% increase. The winter wheat planted area was 33.2 million acres, down 1% year-over-year. 

At 51 bu/acre, the average winter wheat yield in the largest production state of Kansas was up sharply from 43 bu a year ago, while Oklahoma was steady at 38 bu/acre. The average yield in the Soft Red state of Michigan was up 3 bu from a year ago at 90 bu/acre, while Ohio was up 1 bu at 86 bu/acre. 

Other spring wheat production was estimated at 497 million bu, a 9% decline from last year’s 544 million. Harvested area fell 8% to 9.61 million acres, while the yield was pegged at 51.7 bu/acre — slightly below last year’s record 52.4 bu/acre but still the second highest on record. Of the total, Hard Red Spring wheat accounted for 458 million bu, down 9% from 2024. 

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