Grimes & Plain: Weekly Cattle Outlook

Nov 06, 2009
By Grimes - Plain

Beef production for January-September was down 3.2 percent. The number of cattle slaughtered during this nine month period was down 4.2 percent. Therefore, cattle weights were one percent heavier than for this time in 2008.

Due to smaller exports beef consumption per capita was only down 2.7 percent for January-September 2009 compared to 12 months earlier.

Beef demand at the consumer level was down 2.3 percent, pork demand at consumer level was up four percent, broiler demand at the consumer level was down 2.9 percent and turkey demand at the consumer level was up 2.9 percent for January-September compared to a year earlier.

Live fed cattle demand was sharply below a year earlier with a loss of 8.5 percent from 12 months earlier. The reason why live fed cattle demand was down much more than consumer demand was less exports and a very weak hotel and restaurant trade.

Feeder steers and heifers were steady to $1.00 per cwt higher and steer and heifer calves were $1-3 per cwt higher this week than last at Oklahoma City.

The prices by weight groups for medium and large frame Number One steers this week at Oklahoma City were: 400-500 pounds $110-126 per cwt, 500-600 pounds $98-112.50 per cwt, 600-700 pound calves $83.50-99.50 per cwt, 600-700 pound yearlings $94-100.50, 700-800 pounds $93-96.75 per cwt and 800-1,000 pounds $87-95 per cwt.

Calves weighing 400-500 pounds are $4-5 per cwt and 700-800 pound steers are also $4-5 per cwt below a year earlier.

Fed steers this week were $3.66 per cwt below a year earlier.

Replacement cow prices show only a modestly higher price than slaughter cows. This week at Oklahoma City Replacement 1-4 years old weighing 1,000-1,175 bred 5-8 months, average to high quality blocks sold for $700-800 per head.

Wholesale beef prices Friday morning showed Choice at $140.87 per cwt down $0.03 per cwt from a week earlier. Select beef at $135.55 per cwt down $0.09 per cwt from seven days earlier.

Live fed steer weighted average price for the five-market area for the week through Thursday at $86.44 per cwt down $0.53 per cwt from last week. Weighted average negotiated carcass prices for the week through Thursday for the five-market area were $134.24 per cwt up $0.38 per cwt from seven days earlier.

Slaughter this week under Federal Inspection was estimated at 629 thousand head up 0.8 percent from a year earlier.

Video: U.S. Swine Health Improvement Plan | Made by Producers for Producers

Join Jill Brokaw, a third-generation pig farmer and staff member of the National Pork Board, as she dives into the vital role of the US Swine Health Improvement Plan, also known as US SHIP. The program establishes a national playbook of standards for monitoring African swine fever and classical swine fever.

Why Should Pork Producers Care? If a disease breaks out, officials will establish a control area to help contain the disease. This plan is designed to mitigate risk and demonstrate freedom of disease at the site level. The goal is to support business continuity outside of the control area in case of an outbreak.

How Will the Pork Industry Use US SHIP? US SHIP uses already existing programs to support the standards for biosecurity, traceability and disease surveillance.

Biosecurity: This plan uses your completed Secure Pork Supply plan to demonstrate compliance with the biosecurity program standards and shows your ability to reduce the risk of disease introduction.

Traceability: AgView can be used to demonstrate compliance with the traceability standards and the ability to electronically provide State and Federal agencies the traceability information they need to determine where disease is and isn’t.

Disease Surveillance: The Certified Swine Sampler Collector Program helps expand the number of people certified to take samples. In the event of a large-scale foreign animal disease outbreak, we will need a trained group of sample collectors to help animal health officials find where the disease is present. This is to help you demonstrate freedom of disease and support the permitted movement of animals.

Getting Started with US SHIP:

1. Enroll in U.S. Swine Health Improvement Plan

2. Share 30 days of movement data

3. Have a completed Secure Pork Supply Plan

4. Become U.S. SHIP certified

5. Maintain communication with your state

Takeaway: U.S. Swine Health Improvement Plan helps safeguard animal health. Together, we're creating a sustainable future for pork production in the United States and taking steps to strengthen the business of U.S. pork producers everywhere