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No slow down for Canada’s hot real estate market in 2022

No slow down for Canada’s hot real estate market in 2022

By Andrew Joseph, Farms.com, Image by Hans Braxmeier from Pixabay

Unless you’ve been living under a rock, you are aware that Canada’s real estate market has been hotter than H-E-double hockey sticks. If you have considered selling your rock property, you can probably get a goodly amount.

The high prices currently being realized for properties has extended from residential to rural, with seemingly no end in sight. And the market seems to be driven by investors.

For those who are content in their current abode—do you ever wonder what the people selling are then moving into? Something more expensive? Are they downsizing?

Regardless, the real estate market is hot right now, and for our ag friends, the closer your property is to an urban area, the higher the prices being realized as urban consumers are looking to avoid the sprawl but still be near enough to take advantage of its conveniences.

Oh course, some people do want to get their Green Acres mojo and live their dream of being a farmer—some want to invest for reasons other than flipping for financial gain.

But will the boom last or will it go bust?

For those looking to sell, rejoice.

Per the 2022 Canadian Housing Market Outlook Report compiled by RE/MAX, it fully expects prices to rise by 9.2 percent from current levels in through the upcoming year owing to a continuation of inter-provincial migration trends.

Note that these trends are based on expectations from 1,554 Canadians responding to an online survey completed October 29-31, 2021.

While this 9.2 percent number is based on residential sales and does not include farmland acreage, it is prudent to keep in mind that no new farmland is being created in Canada.

Continued adoption of precision agriculture technologies will enable farmers to do more with less, a growing national population will continue to require its nutritional needs are met. Investors know this and continue to purchase farmland playing the long game.  

Many Canadian cities have already taken steps to halt urban sprawl by increasing density in the cities instead of expanding the suburbs further out to rural landscapes, which farmland investors are aware of, too.

Where does leave the family wanting to purchase a farm and property in 2022?

Like everything in real estate, it boils down to location-location-location, but also what amenities the farm offers the buyer. No one is buying a cattle farm if they want to grow wheat.  

Unlike the Dirty 30s—the so-called dustbowl decade when crop-providing topsoil degradation allowed it to be blown away, farmers across the US and Canada invoke good land stewardship practices as they ply their trade.

For the would-be gentleman farmer looking for a hobby farm, money is not the object. For those looking to be a cash-crop farmer, expect to pay a premium as you go against long-play land investors who will purchase and rent/lease the property to other local-area farms.

Will prices slow down, remain flat, increase or plummet? Yes, to all four.

You should continue to enjoy your rock until such time as you are ready to sell, buy or invest. At that time contact one of the many capable farm real estate agents or companies: https://www.farms.com/farm-real-estate/farm-real-estate-companies-and-agents/


Trending Video

Western Canadian Agriculture: Hard Times Made the World's Best Farmers

Video: Western Canadian Agriculture: Hard Times Made the World's Best Farmers

Western Canadian agriculture produced the most advanced farmers in the world not through abundance but through adversity. The crow rate fell. The wheat price went nowhere. The brown envelopes stopped.

When the subsidies disappeared, the bad farmers left and the good ones stayed. And the ones who stayed could not just grow wheat anymore. They started growing lentils and canola and peas and flax and faba beans. They built crop rotation. They got serious about agronomy because there was no government backstop. That process produced the Western Canadian agriculture Dennis Bulani describes in this clip: the most advanced, most educated farming culture in the world.

His contrast with Iowa corn and soybean farmers is sharp. At a DeKalb farmer meeting in Okoboji, Iowa, he asked what crop rotation they ran. Beans on corn stubble, corn on bean stubble. How do you fertilize? The co-op agronomist handles it. Have you considered other crops? No need. We make so much money on corn and soybeans. Western Canadian agriculture was never allowed that comfort. And now those Iowa farmers are watching soybean markets lock up with China and corn prices slide, and they do not have the agronomy knowledge or the research base to pivot. Western Canadian farmers adapted on a dime because they had done it before.

Dennis also makes the case that Western Canadian agriculture keeps adapting in real time. Low commodity prices over the past year have pushed growers to look seriously at precision spot-spray technology. He knows a neighbor who bought a sprayer with the seeing-eye system and sprayed only 80 out of 320 acres. As a chemical retailer Dennis acknowledges that will affect his sales. He supports it anyway, because if it advances Canadian agriculture and makes farmers money, that is a good outcome.

The lesson Dennis draws from the tale of two farms: continuous improvement is the only durable strategy. When canola was $22 a bushel some growers went to Arizona instead of the Crop Production Show. When the price came down those same growers came back to the research and the discipline. Products do not go on Rack Petroleum's shelves unless they pass a replicated trial first. That is what Western Canadian agriculture built through hard times: farmers who do the work whether the times demand it or not.

Dennis Bulani is CEO of Rack Petroleum and Ultimate Yield in Biggar, Saskatchewan. Dan Aberhart hosts GTF Productions, Western Canadian Agriculture's foremost live briefing platform and its foremost AI training platform for ag operators