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Manitoba wheat acres up in 2019

Manitoba wheat acres up in 2019

Market uncertainty is making farmers stick to what they know, a producer said

By Diego Flammini
Staff Writer
Farms.com

Manitoba wheat farmers are bucking the trend compared to producers in other Prairie provinces.

Planted wheat acres in Manitoba are up 8.8 per cent compared to 2018’s figures, Statistics Canada’s acreage report said on June 26. This year, Manitoba farmers planted 3.2 million acres of wheat.

Farmers in Alberta and Saskatchewan reported a 0.4 and 1 per cent decline in wheat plantings, respectively. Nationally, planted wheat acreage is down 0.6 per cent to 24.6 million acres, the report said.

Multiple factors, including weather and innovation, factor into Manitoba’s uptick in wheat seeding, said Fred Greig, a producer from Reston, Man., and chair of the Manitoba Wheat and Barley Growers Association.

“I think the wheat has performed very well in some adverse weather conditions,” he told Farms.com. “A good portion of Manitoba was drier than normal, which cereals handle quite a bit better. With the newer varieties, yields have really ratcheted up and farmers are taking advantage of that.”

Trade uncertainty could also be responsible for farmers’ decisions to seed more wheat.

With some markets closing its borders to Canadian products, growers may feel more confident planting what they’re comfortable with, Greig said.

“When there’s so many political things happening, I think it’s best to grow what you grow best and hope the markets figure themselves out,” he said.

Canola acreage in Canada is also on the decline.

National canola acres are down by 8.2 per cent from 2018 to 21 million acres, Stats Can’s report says.

Provincially, canola acres in Saskatchewan are down by 6.5 per cent to 11.6 million. Manitoba growers have scaled back canola seeding by 3.2 per cent to 3.3 million acres, and Alberta canola growers have planted 12.9 per cent fewer acres to 5.9 million acres.

While many people will point to issue with China as the main reason for the acreage reductions, it isn’t the only factor, said Kevin Serfas, vice-chair of the Alberta Canola Producers Commission and a grower from Turin, Alta.

“Weather issues in part of Alberta have been going on for at least three years,” he told Farms.com. “There’s also the dollars invested per acre compared versus the return with a severe lack of moisture.”

Disease management and crop rotation is also contributing to lower canola acres.

“We’ve put on quite the campaign in regard to clubroot, so I would expect that has something to do with the (lower acres) as well,” he said. “Rotations were a little on the tight side and, I think when you coupled the rotations with the China issue, I suspect farmers thought it was the time to get rotations straightened out.”


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2025 USDA December Crop Report a “Dud” + Trump $12 Billion U.S. Farm Aid

Video: 2025 USDA December Crop Report a “Dud” + Trump $12 Billion U.S. Farm Aid


The USDA December crop report was friendly corn, neutral soybeans and bearish wheat. The USDA did surprise and increase the 25/26 U.S. corn export forecast to a new record high at 3.2 billion bushels now up 12% vs. last year vs. prior at +9% vs. the export pace to date up 30% the best in 10 years even higher than 20/21! The USDA left the 25/26 U.S. soybean export pace unchanged at 1.635 billion bushels. Higher global wheat supplies will remain a weight and headwind for wheat into year end and start of 2026.
Mexico is now the #1 buyer of U.S. corn, soybeans (usually China), wheat and pork!
USDA also released its long-term early projections but expect more changes by February of 2026.
Trump announces a $12 billion U.S. farmer aid package to be paid out by February 28, 2026. This helps no one but the ag banks, farm equipment companies, seed and fertilizer companies. It does prevent more farmer bushels from being sold near-term but is not bullish grain prices long-term. The Trump administration should focus on increasing U.S. domestic demand and propping up grain futures so farmers can cover their higher costs, up since COVID of 2020.
The China U.S. soybean purchase tracker now stands at 4.521 mmt or 38% of the 12 mmt promised by China at year end or is it end of February or the growing season? Why the discrepancy vs. the fact sheet. The optics are poor for the Trump administration.
After surging to contract highs U.S. natural gas futures plunged over 30+% in just 5-trading days!
Silver traded to new record highs as the debasement and de dollarization trade continued but technicals remain overbought near-term.
Soybean futures remained in correction mode after the funds went record long futures on Nov. 19 +233,000 contracts but the $10.80 support should hold into year end when the fund profit taking/liquidation comes to an end from the year end, end of month and end of quarter selling.
The U.S. Fed cut interest rates for the 3rd time by 25 basis points to a range of 3.50 – 3.75% and they will only cut one more time in 2026 and once in 20267/ but when Powell is gone next April the replacement is willing to cut more aggressively and we could see U.S. interest rates fall to 2.0% very bullish for ag and stocks as it could reignite inflation into 2027.
After 2 months of being drier than normal in Brazil the rains have finally arrived for the 1st half of December, and a record crop is still in the cards but if this pattern continues and verifies it could start to delay the harvest. Argentina after being too wet has turned dry but they are too small, compared top Brazil in the grand picture.
The Canadian dollar surged to $0.73 after better-than-expected employment data with 180,000 new jobs in the past 3-months and 3rd quarter GDP at +2.6% but this could be short-lived.
The latest CFTC report as of 11-19-2025 reported a record long fund position in soybeans at +233,000 contracts when 2026 March soybean futures peaked on 11-19-25 at $11.724/bu.