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USDA: Crop Production Report

The United States all orange forecast for the 2012-2013 season is 8.68 million tons, down 1 percent from the previous forecast and down 4 percent from the 2011-2012 final utilization. The Florida all orange forecast, at 139 million boxes (6.26 million tons), is down 1 percent from the February forecast and down 5 percent from last season's final utilization. Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 67.0 million boxes (3.02 million tons), up 2 percent from the February forecast but down 10 percent from last season. This increase was based on utilization data as of March 1. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 72.0 million boxes (3.24 million tons), is down 4 percent from the February forecast due to a sharp increase in droppage.

The California Valencia orange forecast is 12.5 million boxes (500,000 tons), down 4 percent from the previous forecast. This brings California's all orange forecast to 59.0 million boxes (2.36 million tons), down 1 percent from the January forecast. Objective survey measurements taken during January and February indicated that fruit set per tree was higher than the previous year, but measured average fruit size was smaller than the previous year. The forecast for Texas is carried forward from January.

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield forecast for the 2012-2013 season is 1.61 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, down 1 percent from the January forecast and down 1 percent from last season's final yield of 1.63 gallons per box. The early-midseason portion is projected at 1.51 gallons per box, down 1 percent from last season's yield of 1.53 gallons
per box. The Valencia portion is projected at 1.71 gallons per box, 2 percent lower than last year's final yield of 1.75 gallons per box. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons.

Source: USDA


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