USDA Expects Upward Revision in Canadian Canola Production Estimate

Dec 22, 2022

A USDA official said he expects the latest 2022 Canadian canola production estimate to be revised higher, up to around 19 million tonnes.

Aaron Mulhollen, USDA crop assessment specialist for Canada and the Caribbean, said the US government considers the Statistics Canada canola production estimate of 18.17 million to be preliminary rather than final.

“We expect an increase to the current StatCan estimate will occur in the coming year, and, if average, that increase will result in a final production estimate for the 2022 season to be near 19 million tonnes,” Mulhollen wrote in an email.

In its last crop production report for the 2022 growing season earlier this month, StatsCan surprised traders and analysts by lowering its canola production forecast by roughly 900,000 from its model-based projection in September. In its subsequent monthly supply-demand update, the USDA failed to follow StatsCan’s lead and trimmed its own estimate of the Canadian canola crop by 500,000 tonnes from November to 19 million.

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Video: Agriculture Secretary Rollins Speaks at American Farm Bureau Federation Convention in Anaheim

One of the highlights at the 2026 American Farm Bureau Federation Convention in Anaheim, California, was an address by U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins. During her remarks, she thanked America’s farmers and ranchers and said the Trump Administration is fully aware that food security is national security.

She also acknowledged the challenging times in Farm Country with low commodity prices and high input costs and said that’s why the President stepped in to help with the recent Bridge Assistance Program.

Montana Farm Bureau Federation Executive Vice President Scott Kulbeck says that Farm Bureau members are appreciative of the help and looks forward to working with the American Farm Bureau Federation and its presence in Washington, DC to keep farmers and ranchers in business.

Secretary Rollins said the Trump Administration is also committed to helping ranchers build back America’s cattle herd while also providing more high-quality U.S. beef at the meat case for consumers.

And she also announced more assistance for specialty crop producers who only received a fraction of the $12 billion Farmer Bridge Assistance (FBA).

It’s important to note that producers who qualify for Farmer Bridge Assistance can expect the Farm Service Agency to start issuing payments in late February. For more information, farmers and ranchers are encouraged to contact their local USDA Service Center.