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Weekly Canadian Canola Exports Highest Since January 2021

Amid an influx of freshly harvested supplies, weekly Canadian canola exports hit their highest level in nearly two years at the end of September, the latest Canadian Grain Commission report shows. 

The 300,500 tonnes of canola exported during the week ended Oct. 2 marked the first time exports topped 300,000 since the middle of January 2021 when 381,000 tonnes were moved. Exports for the week ended Oct. 2 also far surpassed 22,400 tonnes the previous week and easily topped the crop-year-to-date average of only 27,000. 

 Total canola exports through the first nine weeks of the marketing year, at 520,800 tonnes, are still running behind the year-ago level of 715,300 tonnes. However, with production estimated to be up by 38.8% on the year at 19.1 million tonnes according to the latest Statistics Canada data, the export program is expected to pick up going forward. 

After visible supplies in the commercial pipeline held below 1 million tonnes for the past three months, a steady increase in off-the-combine farmer deliveries saw those commercial stocks triple from the start of the 2022-23 crop year to 1.24 million tonnes by Oct. 2.  

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USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension

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USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.