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Producers optimistic heading into seeding season

Apr 01, 2021
By Hayley Tanner

Although many people were thrilled to see less snowfall this winter, Prairie farmers are concerned over the lack of moisture.

Soil moisture, going into the fall 2020 season, was reported as short and dry.

“We didn’t get an even distribution of snow over the winter,” explained Saskatchewan Ministry of Agriculture crops extension specialist Matthew Struthers.

“Currently, I would assume it’s a bit drier than most farmers would hope. But it’s March, so there’s time for a good dump of snow or a couple good rains.”

It’s pretty dry from Medicine Hat to Winnipeg, said Regina-area farmer Todd Lewis. The grain belt hasn’t received any major precipitation in the past 12 months.

“It’s very concerning and it’s very dry,” he said of the current conditions. “The good thing about a drought is, two inches of rain can turn things around in a hurry and we are due for a good rainfall or snow event.”

Some farmers may need to adjust their seeding schedule and wait until they see at least a little moisture. Others may have to reduce their use of fertilizer once seeds are in the ground.

However, despite the lack of wet weather, producers remain optimistic as we head into April.

“This is getting pretty close to a record dry spell on our farm,” said Lewis. “It’s probably as dry as we’ve been for a number of decades.… You’d have to go back to ‘88 to see such a prolonged dry period.”

Having crop insurance is a way to help mitigate risks associated with drought and can aid in cushioning the blow if precipitation doesn’t materialize.

Nonetheless, it’s still too early to push the panic button as rain is expected in the Prairies over the next two weeks.

“I’m optimistic,” said Struthers, “It’s Saskatchewan; we call it ‘dry-land farming’ for a reason.”


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Video: US “Flash Drought” Worst in 133-160 Years + Disease taking a Bite out of US 2025 Corn/Soybean Crops


A dry August and a “flash drought” in the ECB (Eastern Corn Belt) the driest top 10 to 15 years in 150 to 160 years (Ohio the driest in 133 years) plus disease is taking a bite out of the 2025 U.S. corn and soybean crops.
It's going to be an early harvest. This could be the start of the 89-year drought cycle that may have been delayed until 2026 as La Nina maybe returning.
The USDA September crop report is all about record corn ears and record soybean counts but the October USDA crop report will be about pod and ear weights.
Stats Canada reported higher forecasts for the 2025 Canadian Prairies all wheat and canola crops vs. last year based on satellite imagery but are they overestimating production?
The 2025 Great ON Yield Tour and Quebec crop tours are projecting corn and soybean crops below the 10-year average.
China's Vice Commerce Ministry Li Chenggang visits Washington this week as we continue to connect the dots is a positive sign towards a China/U.S. trade deal. But will U.S. farmers have a winter without China as they buy more soybeans from Uruguay/Argentina? U.S. Northern Plain soybean farmers are seeing red with flat prices at $8.97/bu!
U.S. corn exports on record pace up 99% vs. last year.
Fund short covering continues in corn futures bottom is in!