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Aviation Fuel Subsidy Sparks Lobbying War Over Ethanol

The administration's climate law has triggered a lobbying war over whether to simplify the process for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) made from corn ethanol to get subsidies.  

Biofuel industry stakeholders see SAF as a vital growth catalyst for ethanol. Simultaneously, Environmentalists say that using land for fuel crops makes global warming worse. 

The Inflation Reduction Act's mandate, which requires SAF producers to demonstrate scientifically that their fuel generates 50% less greenhouse gas than petroleum fuel, is a point of contention.  

Midwest ethanol manufacturers push for a model that supports ethanol-based SAF, while environmentalists advocate for a model that favors inputs like used cooking oil and animal fat. 

The final decision will determine who benefits from billions in expected subsidies. The administration aims to supply 3 billion gallons of SAF annually by 2030, striving to decarbonize the transport sector.  

By 2050, the administration envisions the SAF industry satisfying 100% of aviation fuel demand, approximately 35 billion gallons per year. 

Farm state lawmakers and biofuels advocates argue that these targets are unrealistic without ethanol. Environmental groups, however, claim ethanol's inclusion would derail the administration's climate goals. The resolution is expected by September. 

Source : wisconsinagconnection

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USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.