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China offers tariff-free quotas on U.S. soybeans

China offers tariff-free quotas on U.S. soybeans

The quotas apply to about 10 million tonnes of American soybeans

By Diego Flammini
Staff Writer
Farms.com

A sizeable volume of U.S. soybeans will enter Chinese ports without tariffs.

China issued tariff-free quotas to processors to import U.S. soybeans. Public, private and international processors received the quotas, which apply to about 10 million tonnes (11 million tons) of soybeans, the Financial Post reported.

The quotas come about one week after Chinese and American officials met in Washington, D.C. for another round of trade talks. Following those discussions, President Trump told reporters China could buy up to US$50 billion of agricultural products annually once a trade deal is finalized.

This recent move by China should be viewed with optimism.

“The quotas work out to around 367 million bushels” of soybeans, Todd Hubbs, an agricultural economist from the University of Illinois, told Farms.com. “In a normal year without a trade war, China was importing about one billion bushels from the U.S. per year. So, this (amount) is quite a bit.”

Hubbs also categorized China’s decision as “strategic buying.”

Whenever the two countries seemed to make progress on a trade deal, China purchased U.S soybeans. But if trade talks took a different turn, they backed away, Hubbs said.

Soybean prices in general have experienced a recent upswing.

On Oct 1., November soybeans closed at US$9.19 per bushel and, as of early Tuesday afternoon, soybeans are trading around US$9.33 per bushel.

The possibility of a trade deal with China, paired with U.S. weather challenges, could bring the price up further, Hubbs said.

“I don’t think anyone has a good handle on what the winter storm in the Northern Plains did to the soybean crop,” he said. “The harvest losses could be quite high, but who knows. So, I think the strength in soybean prices is a combination of the trade deal and supply issues.”


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USDA took Trumps comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

*Apologies! Where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408.