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Soybeans and Oil Crops, August 2019

New USDA survey data revised downward the estimate of sown soybean area for 2019/20 from the June Acreage report by 3.3 million acres to 76.7 million. Since the U.S. average soybean yield is unchanged at 48.5 bushels per acre, lower acreage is entirely responsible for reducing 2019/20 expected production this month by 165 million bushels to 3.68 billion. USDA’s forecast of U.S. soybean exports for 2019/20 is lowered by 100 million bushels this month to 1.775 billion. Overall, the outlook for season-ending stocks is trimmed by 40 million bushels to 755 million.
 
 
 

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Increased Geo Political Tensions = SELL AMERICA TRADE + Argentina Dry

Video: Increased Geo Political Tensions = SELL AMERICA TRADE + Argentina Dry


Higher geo-politics from Trump wanting to annex Greenlland to conflict with Iran has caused investors to sell everything America. With Matto Grosso Brazil 7% harvested weather has turned wet as harvest progresses but Argentina has turned dry! Both soybean and wheat futures have traded back above the pre-USDA January crop report close a positive technical chart signal. A monster weekly U.S. export report is price supportive but a kick the can down the road on E15 is very disappointing.