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Soybeans and Oil Crops, August 2019

New USDA survey data revised downward the estimate of sown soybean area for 2019/20 from the June Acreage report by 3.3 million acres to 76.7 million. Since the U.S. average soybean yield is unchanged at 48.5 bushels per acre, lower acreage is entirely responsible for reducing 2019/20 expected production this month by 165 million bushels to 3.68 billion. USDA’s forecast of U.S. soybean exports for 2019/20 is lowered by 100 million bushels this month to 1.775 billion. Overall, the outlook for season-ending stocks is trimmed by 40 million bushels to 755 million.
 
 
 

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Higher Crude Oil Futures for Longer = Stagflation?

Video: Higher Crude Oil Futures for Longer = Stagflation?


Fears are starting to grow that higher crude oil futures for longer could see slower economic growth and higher inflation BUT…. At a meeting in Paris, the Chinese team said they would be willing to buy more non-U.S. soybean row crops???? Trump's delay with the Xi meeting (pushed out to end of April) was replaced with the Ag Appreciation Day” on March 27th, 2026. A dry weather pattern for the Central Plains/U.S. winter wheat country causing are wildfires in NE and breaking record temps for March. Stocks are officially in a correction as funds continue to sell the metals to buy energy and ag + more.