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Soybeans and Oil Crops, August 2019

New USDA survey data revised downward the estimate of sown soybean area for 2019/20 from the June Acreage report by 3.3 million acres to 76.7 million. Since the U.S. average soybean yield is unchanged at 48.5 bushels per acre, lower acreage is entirely responsible for reducing 2019/20 expected production this month by 165 million bushels to 3.68 billion. USDA’s forecast of U.S. soybean exports for 2019/20 is lowered by 100 million bushels this month to 1.775 billion. Overall, the outlook for season-ending stocks is trimmed by 40 million bushels to 755 million.
 
 
 

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Making Soybeans Great Again! + A Fools Gold?

Video: Making Soybeans Great Again! + A Fools Gold?


Trump's post this week that China would buy an additional 8 mmt of U.S. soybeans was a “game changer” near-term. The plunge in Bitcoin down 50% from the highs may no longer be considered a “digital” gold. It has followed the selling in tech this week with the NASDAQ down 7%. The 45Z announcement provided more clarity and guidance resulting in higher soyoil futures. Next weeks USDA February crop report is historically a non-event and more.