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Soybeans and Oil Crops, August 2019

New USDA survey data revised downward the estimate of sown soybean area for 2019/20 from the June Acreage report by 3.3 million acres to 76.7 million. Since the U.S. average soybean yield is unchanged at 48.5 bushels per acre, lower acreage is entirely responsible for reducing 2019/20 expected production this month by 165 million bushels to 3.68 billion. USDA’s forecast of U.S. soybean exports for 2019/20 is lowered by 100 million bushels this month to 1.775 billion. Overall, the outlook for season-ending stocks is trimmed by 40 million bushels to 755 million.
 
 
 

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Funds are Long the Grain & Oilseed Complex for the 1st Time Since Feb of 2025! BULLISH PRICES!

Video: Funds are Long the Grain & Oilseed Complex for the 1st Time Since Feb of 2025! BULLISH PRICES!


The funds (managed money) crowd/spec are now net long the grain complex! The AI King Nvidia reported 4th quarter earnings that surpassed Wallstreet estimates but the stock falls? Trump retaliates against U.S. supreme court decision to impose an additional 15% global tariff. FDN (First Day Notice) and month end fund selling in March futures were absent in 2026. Crude oil futures adding more geo-politics, weather turns more active for March, plus South America weather and the latest CFTC report.