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Soybeans and Oil Crops, August 2019

New USDA survey data revised downward the estimate of sown soybean area for 2019/20 from the June Acreage report by 3.3 million acres to 76.7 million. Since the U.S. average soybean yield is unchanged at 48.5 bushels per acre, lower acreage is entirely responsible for reducing 2019/20 expected production this month by 165 million bushels to 3.68 billion. USDA’s forecast of U.S. soybean exports for 2019/20 is lowered by 100 million bushels this month to 1.775 billion. Overall, the outlook for season-ending stocks is trimmed by 40 million bushels to 755 million.
 
 
 

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A “Nothing Burger” from Trump Xi Summitt + Bullish USDA May Crop Report for Wheat!

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The 2026 Trump/Xi Summit in China was one BIG disappointment, but the USDA May Crop Report was bullish U.S. wheat. Wheat Quality Council Tour confirmed the lower wheat production from the USDA for Kansas. Could the U.S. drought travel East and North into the top “I” states from June to August of 2026? #1 U.S. pork buyer Mexico bans 10% of supplies. E15 passes through U.S. Congress but will it pass in the Senate? Higher U.S. wholesale inflation reminds us of 2020-2022. Meal futures spiking + CFTC.